Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfcc085ff63caff9704ff926bae7df92dd946629f26b49eef279374298f6ca98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leviatán Esportsof LOUD, Leviatán Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,367
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,367 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Leviatán Esports | 67c | 3,227$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.55 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed LOUD | 36c | 2,443$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.24 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Leviatán Esports | 67c | 2,022$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.31 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LOUD | 29c | 1,965$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.79 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Leviatán Esports | 69c | 1,965$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.79 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed LOUD | 36c | 1,321$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Leviatán Esports | 64c | 1,302$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.72 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked LOUD | 30c | 1,090$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.76 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leviatán Esports | 71c | 1,037$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.32 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…3d79backed LOUD | 36c | 1,020$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.05 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked LOUD | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Leviatán Esports | 70c | 947.13$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.49 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked LOUD | 30c | 783.05$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.7 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Leviatán Esports | 71c | 503.41$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 291 | 51.5%150 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Leviatán Esports | 72c | 492$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed LOUD | 27c | 429.62$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed LOUD | 11c | 421.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed LOUD | 25c | 397.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed LOUD | 33c | 336.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc11…3636backed LOUD | 11c | 261.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Leviatán Esports | 65c | 250$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed LOUD | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed LOUD | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed LOUD | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed LOUD | 25c | 136.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…7161backed LOUD | 26c | 134.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Leviatán Esports | 66c | 107$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked LOUD | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +12.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Leviatán Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed LOUD | 34c | 74.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a7…057ebacked Leviatán Esports | 69c | 71.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed LOUD | 30c | 43.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…a39fbacked LOUD | 37c | 43.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Leviatán Esports | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Leviatán Esports | 66c | 36.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed Leviatán Esports | 77c | 31.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…fbc8backed Leviatán Esports | 65c | 26.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…1183backed Leviatán Esports | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Leviatán Esports | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Leviatán Esports | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leviatán Esports | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked Leviatán Esports | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)LOUD won
- Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaLOUD won
- Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.