Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ac4bf3457cbebe997b68a86846f9f1e572c1d717cd85ba289f8f580546ab78c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof Leviatán Esports, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6239…1d79backed LOUD | 65c | 1,539$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.69 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Leviatán Esports | 42c | 887.99$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.96 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Leviatán Esports | 43c | 420.8$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.76 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed LOUD | 54c | 369.81$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Leviatán Esports | 49c | 345.07$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed LOUD | 56c | 309.9$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Leviatán Esports | 40c | 297.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked LOUD | 66c | 219.97$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Leviatán Esports | 47c | 214.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Leviatán Esports | 21c | 211$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed LOUD | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Leviatán Esports | 47c | 198.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed LOUD | 48c | 197$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Leviatán Esports | 34c | 194.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed LOUD | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…eaa4backed Leviatán Esports | 44c | 158.09$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed LOUD | 56c | 136.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Leviatán Esports | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked LOUD | 46c | 105.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Leviatán Esports | 54c | 101.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked LOUD | 54c | 93.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed LOUD | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Leviatán Esports | 46c | 81.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed Leviatán Esports | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Leviatán Esports | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 271 | 45%122 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Leviatán Esports | 47c | 62.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Leviatán Esports | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…30abbacked Leviatán Esports | 50c | 45.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked LOUD | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +12.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked LOUD | 60c | 39.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed LOUD | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed LOUD | 55c | 27.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Leviatán Esports | 42c | 26.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked LOUD | 53c | 23.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed LOUD | 55c | 20.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LEV (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaLOUD won
- Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 WinnerLeviatán Esports won
- Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 WinnerLOUD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.