TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, K27
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,637

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93f6…4814backed K2718c9,806$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.076126.2%16 W · 45 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-31%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked K2719c8,177$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.373,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed K2716c6,053$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.4278639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed K276c5,312$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.0237646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked K2718c3,171$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.718550.8%94 W · 91 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons77c2,857$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.511,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons76c2,586$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.651,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked K2729c1,956$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.71,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed K2715c1,870$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.5720554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed K2712c1,657$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.681,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons75c1,646$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked K2726c1,604$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41220935.4%74 W · 135 L-21.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed K2730c1,462$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.5987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons62c1,350$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5131,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked K2725c1,316$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.142,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed K2716c1,248$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.265,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed K279c1,203$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.045,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Falcons77c1,136$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.541,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed K275c1,112$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4257322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed K2721c1,100$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.984,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked K276c1,007$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.421,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed K2716c948.84$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.811,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed K2717c718.8$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.761,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9e…102abacked K2715c550$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.59757.7%56 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed K274c533.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7616935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked K2717c501.2$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.21,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked K2717c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5514044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked K2716c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012045%54 W · 66 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed K2710c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504526.7%12 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ade…fb15backed Team Falcons63c456.74$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.4519748.7%96 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked K2724c412.34$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed K2714c411.18$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.262,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed K2714c352.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3825248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed K2716c350$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5650846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ec…645ebacked K2716c312.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed K2719c293.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8422750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed K2718c288.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2464046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed K274c270.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc882…0662backed K2716c264.15$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2613333.1%44 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Falcons76c250$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Team Falcons55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.544939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed K2716c237.72$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8540141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed K2736c216.8$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7750043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29e3…0d66backed K2715c193.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked K2727c189.23$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.553,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Team Falcons65c180$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6383543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked K2717c170.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.464,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Team Falcons79c159.99$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.139258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Falcons70c150.92$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.791,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed K2718c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.431,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked K2718c150$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.742,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons75c149.5$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.12,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed K2722c128.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.841,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff09…80b5backed K2716c128.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018530.3%56 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed K2730c112.55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7714645.2%66 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked K2713c111.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.031,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed K2726c111.54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2919329%56 W · 137 L-23.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed K2716c106.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1717236%62 W · 110 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked K2716c101.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2416946.2%78 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb311…a72dbacked K2710c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109443.6%41 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2758755.9%328 W · 259 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed K2714c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.218545.4%84 W · 101 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked K2720c97.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.191,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked K2714c97.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2940140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Team Falcons72c95.72$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.241,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed K2719c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.672,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked K2734c84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6436334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked K2717c76.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1974653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked K2732c72.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4317945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Falcons68c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.622,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbb…67fdbacked K2716c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa331…5ba5backed K2716c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed K2717c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.265946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Team Falcons52c59.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7121739.2%85 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed K2726c58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.081,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Team Falcons52c42$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1664439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed K2727c40.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.987944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba6…cd3ebacked K2726c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.54131.7%13 W · 28 L-8.1wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe7e1…fbc8backed Team Falcons79c21.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.583366.7%22 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.