CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc99995bc0591cf919ae5101ed7461d8984772d27443aa6246e2487442a70bebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 31c | 5,287$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.77 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 3,275$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.82 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 68c | 1,538$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.3 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 72c | 859.35$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.63 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Under | 68c | 653$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.96 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Under | 69c | 652.49$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Under | 78c | 641$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Under | 73c | 633.74$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 69c | 633.51$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.51 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 32c | 578.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 31c | 577.07$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.83 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 69c | 515$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.95 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 32c | 405.09$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 32c | 296.73$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Under | 77c | 282.93$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 9c | 260$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8e…eaa2backed Under | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 14c | 190.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 25c | 182.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 159.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 71c | 124.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 67c | 114.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Over | 34c | 108.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 28c | 106.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…7235backed Under | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 42c | 68.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 20c | 61.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 68c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 70c | 48.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 66c | 47.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…a321backed Over | 28c | 42.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Over | 31c | 36.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Under | 72c | 35.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Under | 69c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Under | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Under | 68c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…7152backed Under | 68c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Under | 66c | 19.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…67f7backed Under | 71c | 19.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4be1backed Under | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 73c | 17.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 67c | 17.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 74c | 16.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 67c | 15.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.