TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Falcons, K27
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$290,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$395,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 224 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons65c45,000$29,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,75076657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed K2734c35,850$12,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,188.923848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed K2735c30,000$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,499.974557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked K2735c20,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.985742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed K2736c20,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.968043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Falcons64c16,150$10,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,812.515050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Team Falcons66c15,152$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,151.5225751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked K2734c12,500$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,299.9916245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons66c10,278$6,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,494.5221754.8%119 W · 98 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed K2736c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60072046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked K2734c8,793$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.9584454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Team Falcons66c7,342$4,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,496.1516248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Team Falcons65c6,513$4,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,279.5618754.5%102 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Team Falcons65c5,744$3,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.6346343.2%200 W · 263 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked K2735c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.9818950.8%96 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Team Falcons65c5,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.9837946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Team Falcons77c4,238$3,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.5239157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons64c3,520$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.0438358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed K2735c3,496$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.6660248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked K2718c3,309$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.323,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Team Falcons65c3,305$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.0318846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Falcons72c3,184$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.7127552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Team Falcons64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12526045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Falcons66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.312955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Team Falcons66c2,993$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.665950.4%332 W · 327 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Team Falcons66c2,820$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.8317948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons65c2,698$1,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.7436450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked K2719c2,449$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.393,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Team Falcons65c2,300$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80417357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked K2734c2,018$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.1536152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Team Falcons66c1,970$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.715255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf257…ba86backed Team Falcons65c1,892$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed K2735c1,872$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.162,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb995…4cc4backed K2734c1,728$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.94650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Falcons64c1,663$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.6513846.4%64 W · 74 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Team Falcons73c1,613$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.5813850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed K2734c1,600$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.9959841.3%247 W · 351 L-20.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa162…479dbacked Team Falcons65c1,581$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.763145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked K2735c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52510157.4%58 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Team Falcons68c1,375$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.2341069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed K2734c1,310$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.4826743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Team Falcons66c1,253$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9827658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Team Falcons65c1,245$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.061,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Team Falcons65c1,220$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42723354.9%128 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Team Falcons65c1,220$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.891747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed K2737c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40712426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Team Falcons63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37031253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed K2734c999.98$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9928738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed K2728c989$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.921,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked K2735c963$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x483a…01d6backed Team Falcons65c935.21$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.3220349.3%100 W · 103 L-12.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed K2736c919.84$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.1415740.8%64 W · 93 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked K2736c900$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32111155%61 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed K2735c750$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.51,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c22…0c2cbacked K2736c694.44$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed Team Falcons64c635.84$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.95133.3%17 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Team Falcons64c576.56$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.566747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked K2735c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006251.6%32 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed K2735c570$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.814544.8%65 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked K2735c550.3$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6115355.6%85 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9586…de67backed K2735c538.46$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.461668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Team Falcons63c530.39$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2512950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons68c502.05$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.71,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8562…0a61backed Team Falcons64c476.56$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.562259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Team Falcons64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.7522444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba0c…7800backed Team Falcons65c450$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.54951%25 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons66c436.42$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.3842845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x836c…acffbacked Team Falcons64c424.67$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.662040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Team Falcons65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14018754.5%102 W · 85 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Team Falcons65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14039454.3%214 W · 180 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Team Falcons66c363.64$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6417754.8%97 W · 80 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked K276c350$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2130031.7%95 W · 205 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Team Falcons65c349.99$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.55850%29 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked K2727c349.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9326341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d9…4bb0backed K2735c349.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.51225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed K2735c330.83$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7961654.9%338 W · 278 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f47…120dbacked Team Falcons65c321.36$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.476744.8%30 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed Team Falcons64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.577247.8%369 W · 403 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed K2737c310.45$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8122750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1c…8408backed Team Falcons64c309.38$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.389547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Falcons65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6954743.7%239 W · 308 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Team Falcons66c306.02$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.056450%32 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Team Falcons66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.034660.9%28 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Team Falcons66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0327459.5%163 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed K2735c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10516935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked K2729c292.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.841,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked K2736c278$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.087051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked K2737c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014843.9%65 W · 83 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed Team Falcons63c259.08$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8638552.2%201 W · 184 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked Team Falcons65c250$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.515363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Team Falcons66c238.37$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0540839.2%160 W · 248 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Team Falcons64c225$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8110450%52 W · 52 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Team Falcons64c220$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.22147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked K2735c214.28$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Team Falcons66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6834742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked K2735c199$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.651936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Team Falcons64c192.18$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.1844643.5%194 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked K2735c190.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.518551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed K2737c175$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.759240.2%37 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.