CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f4793da5d43d0f42feddbef76ddf948ff7e28ab43ce26a4fc6292a20802a490
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x182d…73e9backed K27 | 13c | 7,051$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.94 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked K27 | 20c | 4,261$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.11 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…d9e6backed K27 | 15c | 4,036$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 2,969$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.45 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Falcons | 80c | 2,356$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.12 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed K27 | 22c | 1,820$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Team Falcons | 80c | 1,739$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.22 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons | 78c | 1,640$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.74 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 6c | 1,559$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked K27 | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 1,458$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.4 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked K27 | 5c | 1,321$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Team Falcons | 78c | 1,308$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.59 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed K27 | 5c | 1,250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked K27 | 5c | 1,250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked K27 | 21c | 899.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked K27 | 22c | 863.64$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed K27 | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…039bbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 787.88$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 118 | 71.2%84 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 696.76$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.29 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed K27 | 16c | 638$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed K27 | 18c | 605$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 600$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked K27 | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed K27 | 22c | 555.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.19 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Team Falcons | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…abbbbacked K27 | 5c | 511.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked K27 | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed K27 | 21c | 462.48$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked K27 | 5c | 424$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed K27 | 19c | 399.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed K27 | 12c | 389.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Team Falcons | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 375.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…0613backed K27 | 7c | 344.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed K27 | 21c | 313.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Team Falcons | 79c | 304.43$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 111 | 66.7%74 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed K27 | 21c | 251.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked K27 | 5c | 249.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed K27 | 21c | 226.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed K27 | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 180.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e9…d246backed Team Falcons | 79c | 141.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 263 | 68.8%181 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed K27 | 21c | 138$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed K27 | 22c | 133.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked K27 | 21c | 128.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Team Falcons | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed K27 | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7813…eeccbacked K27 | 22c | 115.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed K27 | 22c | 113.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed K27 | 22c | 113$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Team Falcons | 79c | 107.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…19fdbacked K27 | 13c | 107.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed K27 | 14c | 100.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…9728backed Team Falcons | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked K27 | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…ba50backed Team Falcons | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…c150backed Team Falcons | 79c | 94.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e09…b5f1backed K27 | 22c | 82.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed K27 | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…08acbacked K27 | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b4…d45dbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 56.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Falcons | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 587 | 55.9%328 W · 259 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Team Falcons | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…ba8dbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 31.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 30.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Team Falcons | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Falcons | 76c | 28.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed Team Falcons | 79c | 20.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Team Falcons | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Team Falcons | 79c | 13.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3f…50b1backed Team Falcons | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Team Falcons | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)Team Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.