TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7813…eecc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$25.8
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.1
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+43.7%+$15.2
Will Trump impose tariffs on Colombia in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.26
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+66.6%+$149.91
Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+200.4%+$110.07
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.26
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$10.16
Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+93.4%+$33.8
Will Trump pass a border/immigration law in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.61
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$128.93
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Bucks (To Advance)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+152.1%+$36.2
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.8
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$85.07
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+43.4%+$6.05
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.4
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.9
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+84.2%+$30.16
Grizzlies vs. Pistonsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+39%+$8.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs paiN Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Omega vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winnerbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+246.6%+$103.59
Counter-Strike: Omega vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winnerbacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked The Last Resort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.09
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+84.5%+$22.9
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+60.6%+$105.7
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$32.96
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.38
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+76.5%+$13
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.1
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+82.4%+$65.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-62%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.42
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.53
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.26
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+82.9%+$13.6
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlinsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-65.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+71.8%+$37.6
Michael Chandler vs. Paddy Pimblettbacked Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$23.4
Yair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbullbacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Inner Circle (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.