Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e8684d7a29ab1c627a8cb43a8b58b80bbeadd3a9d0b52b06b074184e7499dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Cloud9 | 24c | 4,928$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.15 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed G2 Esports | 78c | 1,294$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.74 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed G2 Esports | 76c | 1,072$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.78 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked G2 Esports | 75c | 1,004$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cloud9 | 20c | 543.45$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud9 | 24c | 505$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Cloud9 | 22c | 503.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed G2 Esports | 77c | 503.47$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cloud9 | 12c | 501.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 Esports | 80c | 440.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.83 | 256 | 60.9%156 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Cloud9 | 22c | 386.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Cloud9 | 22c | 386.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Cloud9 | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cloud9 | 23c | 308.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed G2 Esports | 78c | 228$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Cloud9 | 26c | 205.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Cloud9 | 22c | 172.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Cloud9 | 16c | 166.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed G2 Esports | 76c | 125.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Cloud9 | 10c | 112.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Cloud9 | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cloud9 | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7813…eeccbacked Cloud9 | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked G2 Esports | 74c | 71.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a7…057ebacked G2 Esports | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.