Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bdeefaea4e353d2344dbee0b0d2ee0f506982da8842c83fd91abbe10fe2070c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Cloud9 | 16c | 71,553$11,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,284.34 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Cloud9 | 19c | 12,232$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.35 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Cloud9 | 16c | 9,500$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.04 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Cloud9 | 18c | 5,126$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.7 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Cloud9 | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cloud9 | 9c | 2,601$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.63 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Cloud9 | 18c | 1,025$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.54 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cloud9 | 3c | 861.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Cloud9 | 8c | 725.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cloud9 | 18c | 682.87$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Cloud9 | 11c | 645.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…65f9backed Cloud9 | 7c | 570$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…a152backed Cloud9 | 20c | 569.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.81 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Cloud9 | 18c | 539.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Cloud9 | 11c | 525.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.7 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Cloud9 | 16c | 506.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 193 | 37.8%73 W · 120 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed G2 Esports | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Cloud9 | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Cloud9 | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Cloud9 | 17c | 463.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Cloud9 | 8c | 461.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Cloud9 | 3c | 380$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Cloud9 | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…7f2bbacked Cloud9 | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed G2 Esports | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked G2 Esports | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…c828backed Cloud9 | 18c | 249.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…0742backed Cloud9 | 20c | 213.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Cloud9 | 17c | 204$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…9934backed Cloud9 | 20c | 187.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Cloud9 | 7c | 157.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Cloud9 | 18c | 136$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Cloud9 | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Cloud9 | 12c | 122.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…db37backed G2 Esports | 80c | 109.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Cloud9 | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Cloud9 | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Cloud9 | 18c | 86.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb70f…eae5backed Cloud9 | 20c | 75.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Cloud9 | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…9755backed Cloud9 | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked G2 Esports | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked G2 Esports | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed G2 Esports | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphathis page
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Map 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.