TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x074b…65f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 51 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.89
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.42
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+375.7%+$386.99
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.94
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.7
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$71.5
Valorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$36.65
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Valorant: VARREL vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$156
Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$42.66
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.02
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.