CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbebdb6c1e80327761361dcd0699257dbb0f799c511be9f9348f1eaaf8301001d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Last Resortof The Last Resort, m1x
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed The Last Resort | 39c | 1,126$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.32 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked m1x | 41c | 844.57$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.78 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked m1x | 35c | 679.44$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.12 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed The Last Resort | 44c | 575.82$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.39 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…d704backed The Last Resort | 77c | 553.89$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed m1x | 31c | 551.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.03 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…c43abacked The Last Resort | 57c | 430.79$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed The Last Resort | 74c | 403.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked The Last Resort | 76c | 342.3$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed m1x | 48c | 310$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed m1x | 71c | 307.45$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked m1x | 48c | 297.14$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.9 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e5…60babacked The Last Resort | 54c | 292.73$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed m1x | 47c | 254$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.54 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed m1x | 44c | 180.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed The Last Resort | 38c | 161.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed m1x | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f33…de5bbacked m1x | 18c | 142.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…bc2abacked m1x | 74c | 135.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked m1x | 20c | 129.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed m1x | 20c | 126.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed The Last Resort | 54c | 125.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked m1x | 38c | 117.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed The Last Resort | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…65f9backed m1x | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed m1x | 19c | 94.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked m1x | 65c | 68.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed m1x | 26c | 55.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked m1x | 20c | 50.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…1972backed The Last Resort | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b1…d2d8backed The Last Resort | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed m1x | 56c | 36.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed m1x | 57c | 29.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a6…0a68backed The Last Resort | 70c | 28.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked The Last Resort | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 89 | 88.8%79 W · 10 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked The Last Resort | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x - Map 1 Winnerm1x won
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x - Map 2 WinnerThe Last Resort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.