CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd966548d45b29892165c922222bfa6a15efac579d0e1258dedbda0ca4ccd93d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- m1xof The Last Resort, m1x
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked The Last Resort | 49c | 1,377$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed m1x | 50c | 1,200$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.46 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked m1x | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed The Last Resort | 49c | 922.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.84 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4d…c654backed The Last Resort | 49c | 461.49$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed m1x | 52c | 302.71$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked m1x | 56c | 195.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked The Last Resort | 37c | 179.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked The Last Resort | 50c | 115.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed The Last Resort | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked m1x | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed m1x | 53c | 79.16$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed m1x | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…bc2abacked m1x | 77c | 65.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed m1x | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c2…4933backed m1x | 54c | 57.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked The Last Resort | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked m1x | 56c | 28.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed m1x | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed m1x | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsThe Last Resort won
- Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs m1x - Map 2 WinnerThe Last Resort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.