Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3029a6a5981c8bc95996674de77ed9fd53e5a632d6c582fe1a63c166aca53199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FULL SENSEof T1, FULL SENSE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed T1 | 1c | 6,085$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d62dbacked T1 | 7c | 1,500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed T1 | 6c | 1,250$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FULL SENSE | 38c | 1,039$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.27 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed FULL SENSE | 79c | 629.16$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…65f9backed T1 | 4c | 547$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed T1 | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed T1 | 44c | 456.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked T1 | 64c | 443.99$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.1 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked T1 | 19c | 359.95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef2…98e0backed T1 | 3c | 336$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked FULL SENSE | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed T1 | 24c | 247$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed T1 | 9c | 180.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked T1 | 54c | 176.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked T1 | 28c | 129.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed FULL SENSE | 44c | 110.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed T1 | 37c | 103$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed FULL SENSE | 51c | 97.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed T1 | 64c | 96.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed T1 | 56c | 93.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FULL SENSE | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed T1 | 49c | 72.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked FULL SENSE | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked T1 | 60c | 52.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked FULL SENSE | 80c | 50.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked T1 | 50c | 39.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…369dbacked T1 | 30c | 39.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed T1 | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked T1 | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked T1 | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked FULL SENSE | 38c | 28.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…71f1backed FULL SENSE | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed T1 | 63c | 18.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5)FULL SENSE won
- Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsFULL SENSE won
- Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 WinnerFULL SENSE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.