Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ff78d0152f42a9495caa17fb77a7b330272f83dee770e7dcaad08e82e00437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FULL SENSEof T1, FULL SENSE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked FULL SENSE | 49c | 23,652$11,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,034.74 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked T1 | 57c | 21,362$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.88 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…cb8ebacked FULL SENSE | 60c | 3,038$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed T1 | 41c | 2,423$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.6 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked FULL SENSE | 37c | 2,239$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.07 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed FULL SENSE | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed FULL SENSE | 42c | 1,119$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.17 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed T1 | 30c | 1,086$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.01 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed T1 | 44c | 999.49$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.81 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…c310backed T1 | 59c | 994.63$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked T1 | 65c | 885.57$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.62 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FULL SENSE | 52c | 832.51$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.4 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…24dfbacked FULL SENSE | 73c | 812.73$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.56 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked FULL SENSE | 37c | 736$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.68 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked T1 | 55c | 677.09$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.14 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed T1 | 59c | 649.99$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked T1 | 44c | 431.34$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.79 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked T1 | 38c | 416.02$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.21 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed T1 | 26c | 396.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed T1 | 48c | 330.97$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.52 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FULL SENSE | 36c | 326.61$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.57 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed T1 | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked T1 | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed T1 | 48c | 294$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed T1 | 51c | 290.21$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked T1 | 28c | 270.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.78 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed FULL SENSE | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FULL SENSE | 66c | 246.81$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked FULL SENSE | 51c | 235.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.37 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed T1 | 33c | 229$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked T1 | 29c | 228.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed T1 | 37c | 207.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.82 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed T1 | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked FULL SENSE | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed T1 | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked T1 | 43c | 196.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked T1 | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed T1 | 49c | 132.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed T1 | 54c | 127.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked FULL SENSE | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed T1 | 28c | 119.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed T1 | 33c | 119$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked T1 | 19c | 108.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked T1 | 53c | 107.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked FULL SENSE | 38c | 101.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked T1 | 59c | 100.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed FULL SENSE | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed T1 | 50c | 98.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked FULL SENSE | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed T1 | 53c | 86.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked T1 | 42c | 84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked FULL SENSE | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed T1 | 64c | 68.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked T1 | 43c | 68.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed T1 | 27c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed T1 | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked T1 | 19c | 54.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked FULL SENSE | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +12.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed T1 | 50c | 50.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed T1 | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked T1 | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…9b5fbacked T1 | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed T1 | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed T1 | 43c | 40.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed T1 | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed FULL SENSE | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed T1 | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed T1 | 41c | 35.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6933…7ea3backed FULL SENSE | 45c | 33.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FULL SENSE | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…2c71backed T1 | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed T1 | 64c | 27.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed FULL SENSE | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…2d10backed T1 | 59c | 18.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5)FULL SENSE won
- Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific PlayoffsFULL SENSE won
- Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 WinnerFULL SENSE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.