TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof T1, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$197,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed T143c33,817$14,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,611.3154751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Paper Rex55c15,598$8,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.3513651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed T136c13,539$4,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,841.389844.9%44 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked T143c9,946$4,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,276.5878162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Paper Rex57c8,489$4,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,650.1433153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8d…24dfbacked Paper Rex75c7,152$5,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.823873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex56c5,523$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.2434857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Paper Rex61c5,065$3,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.8619656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed T143c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9826050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Paper Rex57c4,818$2,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.6393148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Paper Rex56c4,502$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,965.88638.4%33 W · 53 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed T144c4,373$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.1618457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed Paper Rex56c4,282$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.2513345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9572…0633backed Paper Rex57c3,739$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd13…5228backed T146c3,441$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Paper Rex67c2,931$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.619051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed T145c2,832$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.4433942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked T144c2,700$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.9910951.4%56 W · 53 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed T141c2,678$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.764247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Paper Rex57c2,641$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.436863.2%43 W · 25 L+10.3wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed T147c2,637$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2426339.7%25 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Paper Rex57c2,474$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.828934.8%31 W · 58 L-11.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed T143c2,300$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.2728548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed T145c2,277$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.6723151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paper Rex61c2,046$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.731,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f7…bbcfbacked Paper Rex56c1,520$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed T135c1,393$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.764346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b4…7056backed Paper Rex56c1,390$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.833050%15 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed T142c1,385$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.3519040%76 W · 114 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed T144c1,272$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.8410946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked T138c1,100$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.825444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Paper Rex54c1,065$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.0710238.2%39 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Paper Rex56c1,045$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.845349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked T130c1,024$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.421,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7065…f73cbacked T144c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Paper Rex57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43028541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed T120c995.85$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1760022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Paper Rex53c991.98$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.2314938.3%57 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed T144c989.63$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.4425660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Paper Rex57c986.13$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5124846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0650…865cbacked Paper Rex56c965.93$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.01650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Paper Rex54c947.78$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.5845250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked Paper Rex57c897$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.713650%18 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked T145c887.99$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.655152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc365…635cbacked Paper Rex57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.196045%27 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21fb…fd64backed Paper Rex57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.191850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Paper Rex67c829.5$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.5640944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed T143c794.44$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6151749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe7…b13cbacked T145c793.78$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex57c786$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8424457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ee…878ebacked Paper Rex78c750.54$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.141070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Paper Rex53c700.38$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.1828955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Paper Rex55c697.04$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.6332152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e5…8ce3backed Paper Rex57c692.98$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.984341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Paper Rex57c663.16$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.211,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked T147c651.44$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.835142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Paper Rex57c649.12$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.128950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked T121c640.35$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.430835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Paper Rex47c638.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.624045%18 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2655…eaa4backed T144c615.99$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.687930.4%24 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75d…8fd4backed Paper Rex57c608.23$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked T122c559.16$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6588844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44aa…d1d5backed T146c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Paper Rex57c543.86$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.861353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Paper Rex57c529.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.646553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed T144c508.54$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.7662156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Paper Rex57c506.53$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.513565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Paper Rex57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21516639.2%65 W · 101 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Paper Rex57c494$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.421643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked T144c493.87$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.011963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0290…e1bcbacked Paper Rex67c489.55$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.821172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked T141c485.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010460.6%63 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked T142c479.36$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6112147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Paper Rex54c478.94$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.311050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Paper Rex63c470.47$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.741,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed T122c469.5$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3277929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed T144c465$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3518049.4%89 W · 91 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Paper Rex50c453.64$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5919157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed T143c443.33$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.374755.3%26 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed T134c441.07$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.071,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Paper Rex58c419.66$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.4474642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked Paper Rex57c400.75$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.324843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4cd…e2abbacked T127c373.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.836048.3%29 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43fd…021fbacked T143c363.67$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed T155c358.73$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.31353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick68cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0275…d186backed T134c356.04$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8a…76a2backed Paper Rex57c350.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.582147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4584…5473backed Paper Rex57c345.45$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.542941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Paper Rex57c344$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9217640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7c…3e7abacked T134c340$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-72.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8201…5d39backed T130c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed Paper Rex57c313.93$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9910655.7%59 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed Paper Rex58c312$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.044146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Paper Rex59c310.97$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9146326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked T147c305$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.111,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked T143c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed T144c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1323737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca97…f3cebacked Paper Rex57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Paper Rex56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1323148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Paper Rex65c299.99$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8734739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.