TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba38…e406backed T146c21,975$10,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,802.8854851.1%280 W · 268 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3f…75cfbacked Paper Rex54c19,705$10,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,640.613651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed T146c6,521$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,521.651849.6%257 W · 261 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Paper Rex51c4,187$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12210242.2%43 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed T149c3,865$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9719844.9%44 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a50…caa8backed Paper Rex1c2,424$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-63.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Paper Rex55c1,979$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.328847.6%137 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed T147c1,869$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.3528548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Paper Rex52c1,614$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.2133942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paper Rex52c1,531$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.261,38047.1%650 W · 730 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed T148c1,411$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.7393248.1%448 W · 484 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed T170c1,335$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.3225752.1%134 W · 123 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Paper Rex54c1,037$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9819157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed Paper Rex53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-51.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed T156c888.32$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.4845250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed T147c850$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.57045.7%32 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4888…c7d3backed Paper Rex53c840$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Paper Rex53c787.5$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.7519540.5%79 W · 116 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Paper Rex54c777$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.581540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd13…5228backed T148c765$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed Paper Rex54c755.19$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.41513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-69.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed T160c728.79$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.4140944.3%181 W · 228 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Paper Rex31c678.3$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.311,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Paper Rex52c650.37$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.7911843.2%51 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf7…4b3abacked Paper Rex54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3242065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+57.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed T148c599.79$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.897050%35 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Paper Rex53c558.16$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.821338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Paper Rex54c532.4$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.861,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Paper Rex26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d1d…8b42backed T147c414$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.42475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+77%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Paper Rex33c408.18$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13314454.2%78 W · 66 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Paper Rex54c391.57$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5115842.4%67 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Paper Rex32c386.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.873342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cbb…75a1backed Paper Rex52c386.82$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed T146c349.27$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.856045%27 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Paper Rex55c334.7$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.435349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7d5…306dbacked Paper Rex54c327.78$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed Paper Rex54c324.07$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4b…fcaebacked Paper Rex55c323.75$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Paper Rex43c314.97$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13414534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Paper Rex54c314.33$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7410159.4%60 W · 41 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed T146c314.03$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5832152.6%169 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked T172c311.37$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5312147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked T175c271.68$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.684070%28 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d30…11f1backed Paper Rex54c253.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.151855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Paper Rex40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Paper Rex12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked T156c240.33$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8789344.3%396 W · 497 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Paper Rex55c223.64$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1238848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked T145c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12119943.7%87 W · 112 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Paper Rex49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.722649.1%111 W · 115 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6bb…c0aabacked T159c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed Paper Rex54c184.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.52842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed T146c180$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.820840.9%85 W · 123 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Paper Rex40c176.2$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.484231%13 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed T146c170$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.410143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex44c169.36$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.991,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Paper Rex38c159.14$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.91,49546.6%696 W · 799 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Paper Rex47c157$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7953742.1%226 W · 311 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8d…24dfbacked T167c149.85$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.343873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93ed…a4cbbacked Paper Rex54c146.3$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Paper Rex22c138.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.336040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Paper Rex55c130.91$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Paper Rex51c129$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7912850%64 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex21c126$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.21,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked T153c115.01$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0578562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked T156c106$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.091,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed Paper Rex54c100.78$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5519134.6%66 W · 125 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6159…cf6ebacked Paper Rex13c90.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Paper Rex54c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.216046.9%75 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed T157c84.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9732261.5%198 W · 124 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked T148c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3318457.1%105 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked T147c79.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3925444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7a…52c9backed Paper Rex52c77.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402420.8%5 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-54.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2062…a44bbacked Paper Rex54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1ba…a3d6backed Paper Rex54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+38.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f2…ee56backed Paper Rex52c71.4$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.834254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Paper Rex19c70.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0241835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed T154c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.214850%74 W · 74 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0096…2a83backed T148c66.67$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.675238.5%20 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Paper Rex18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed T167c59.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce42…5cddbacked Paper Rex55c51.87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.535856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked T148c51.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.537047.1%33 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Paper Rex21c51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7137545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked Paper Rex55c50.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2818261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed T146c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36c9…c678backed Paper Rex26c42.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510e…b8e0backed Paper Rex54c42.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.612842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked T148c41.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.868100%8 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+103.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x80ce…0f13backed Paper Rex39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64119.5%8 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe56a…2ba5backed T148c39.24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.543930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed T152c38.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.346672.7%48 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Paper Rex52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.26259.7%37 W · 25 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5ee…dc4ebacked T161c32.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc161…bd88backed T147c31.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.874744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d43…43a7backed Paper Rex50c30.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.021723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick48cpaid-66.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x41a7…057ebacked Paper Rex54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked T172c20.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7585138.1%324 W · 527 L-51.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.