TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2062…a44b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffsbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.75
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs Vasco Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$29.73
Counter-Strike: BIG Academy vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Lilmix (BO3) - Esplay Elite Gaming Playoffsbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: TNC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bbacked TNC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.43
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Phantom Academy (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.64
Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs Vexar (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffsbacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.55
Counter-Strike: Young TigeRES vs Vexar (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffsbacked Young TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.18
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$21.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$6.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.