Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BGT (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7098e3ac9889e134ff74aa654c77028ac92bd0623179b953d2d9036645c9f872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Phoenixof BoostGate Esports, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Phoenix | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,049.96 | 1,507 | 50.4%760 W · 747 L | +72.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Team Phoenix | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.98 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Team Phoenix | 38c | 3,466$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.88 | 1,535 | 54.9%843 W · 692 L | +40.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked BoostGate Esports | 61c | 2,013$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.93 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed BoostGate Esports | 60c | 1,913$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.41 | 652 | 43.1%281 W · 371 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Phoenix | 40c | 1,561$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.89 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked BoostGate Esports | 61c | 1,531$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked BoostGate Esports | 61c | 1,379$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841 | 599 | 48.2%289 W · 310 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked BoostGate Esports | 61c | 1,178$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.43 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed BoostGate Esports | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…6178backed BoostGate Esports | 61c | 922$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed BoostGate Esports | 60c | 919.13$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.32 | 250 | 35.2%88 W · 162 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked BoostGate Esports | 61c | 888.6$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.05 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed BoostGate Esports | 62c | 705.03$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.12 | 242 | 32.2%78 W · 164 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Phoenix | 39c | 700$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 1,805 | 51.3%926 W · 879 L | +54.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Team Phoenix | 39c | 639.41$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.04 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed BoostGate Esports | 62c | 551.61$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 403 | 55.1%222 W · 181 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed BoostGate Esports | 61c | 490$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed BoostGate Esports | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,018 | 47.7%486 W · 532 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked BoostGate Esports | 61c | 418.03$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Team Phoenix | 39c | 407.45$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.54 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…ac09backed BoostGate Esports | 61c | 395.8$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.44 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Phoenix | 39c | 305.67$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.46 | 2,191 | 53.5%1,173 W · 1,018 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e88…27b4backed BoostGate Esports | 61c | 296$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed BoostGate Esports | 61c | 243.55$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.44 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed BoostGate Esports | 61c | 191.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Phoenix | 42c | 148$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 1,145 | 30.7%352 W · 793 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Team Phoenix | 38c | 133$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Team Phoenix | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed BoostGate Esports | 61c | 126$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed BoostGate Esports | 62c | 115.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 1,501 | 48.4%727 W · 774 L | +47.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed BoostGate Esports | 61c | 115.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Phoenix | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Team Phoenix | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked BoostGate Esports | 61c | 90.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed BoostGate Esports | 61c | 82.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 499 | 47.1%235 W · 264 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed BoostGate Esports | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…449ebacked BoostGate Esports | 61c | 56.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…5693backed BoostGate Esports | 61c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed BoostGate Esports | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…a44bbacked BoostGate Esports | 61c | 47.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked BoostGate Esports | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Team Phoenix | 42c | 40.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Team Phoenix | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Team Phoenix | 40c | 38.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Team Phoenix | 39c | 36.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 453 | 44.4%201 W · 252 L | -30.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…3799backed Team Phoenix | 40c | 25.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked BoostGate Esports | 62c | 18.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BGT (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- LoL: BoostGate Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonBoostGate Esports won
- LoL: BoostGate Esports vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerBoostGate Esports won
- LoL: BoostGate Esports vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerTeam Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.