TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e88…27b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$10.8
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$34.81
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$13.19
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+171%+$95.93
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+109.5%+$15.3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$8.24
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.62
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$11.76
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra Ealabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+138.8%+$46.5
Poznan: Dalibor Svrcina vs Gustavo Heidebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31
Dublin: Kyrian Jacquet vs Henry Searlebacked Henry Searle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$26
Figueira Da Foz: Martyna Kubka vs Yeon-Woo Kubacked Yeon-Woo Ku · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.32
Nottingham 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanenbacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.57
Royan: Kilian Feldbausch vs Max Alcala Gurribacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Remy Bertolabacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Nottingham 2: Christopher O'Connell vs Jay Clarkebacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$26.8
Delray Beach Open, Qualification: Yibing Wu vs Colton Smithbacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.7%+$12.09
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-45.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.45
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22
France vs. Senegal: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+140.5%+$165.91
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Game Handicap: BGT (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)backed BoostGate Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180.56
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$78.6
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.75
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs GMBLERS ESPORTS (BO5) - LIT Playoffsbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20.72
LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffsbacked PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$84.15
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$9.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.48
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Heroic - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.13
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$136.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.