TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Hurricanes, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,651

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Flyers60c20,798$12,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,387.343046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Hurricanes40c18,352$7,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,372.2667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07aa…deb1backed Hurricanes41c6,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4608845.5%40 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Flyers59c3,113$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.33844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Hurricanes42c2,938$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.1227243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Flyers58c2,084$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.9161959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes41c1,383$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.332,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb7b…3051backed Flyers49c1,222$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Flyers58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46226154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Flyers60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Flyers64c909.29$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5628652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Flyers59c851.96$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed Hurricanes20c845.84$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.172343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Hurricanes41c664.63$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.59157.1%52 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Flyers59c499.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8150251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86ee…511fbacked Hurricanes41c477.05$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.593652.8%19 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Hurricanes33c471.36$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.031,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Hurricanes40c470.15$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Flyers75c299.9$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0982353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Hurricanes45c298.52$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2612859.4%76 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hurricanes22c276.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.681,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x521e…8aa2backed Flyers60c266.67$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.674344.2%19 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3e…5d6cbacked Hurricanes40c261.42$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.31666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+49.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf50…b426backed Hurricanes41c229.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e88…27b4backed Flyers70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Flyers77c195.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1960449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hurricanes28c185.14$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3999638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers60c177.1$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.791,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b97…bd26backed Flyers60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672050%10 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Hurricanes30c164.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.233154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Hurricanes28c160$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.135551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Hurricanes15c149.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2215535.5%55 W · 100 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Hurricanes41c139.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.410346.6%48 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Hurricanes26c125$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.53141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa928…bbaabacked Hurricanes41c125$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.256142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Hurricanes47c117.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7223754%128 W · 109 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hurricanes21c116.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2747024%113 W · 357 L-44.6wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked Flyers71c109.71$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.45556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Flyers80c109.25$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.852458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Flyers62c105.14$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.146550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9121…bd6cbacked Hurricanes21c104.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.912152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Flyers49c102.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8429533.6%99 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Flyers67c88.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2916443.3%71 W · 93 L-15.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Flyers60c81.94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1833554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hurricanes43c79.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.623,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Hurricanes20c77.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4923950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Flyers58c76.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9911952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f06…2614backed Hurricanes41c71.34$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.253855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Flyers55c71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.955345.3%24 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Flyers61c66.29$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.589755.7%54 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Hurricanes42c64.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hurricanes41c63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8317248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Hurricanes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5930…51d2backed Hurricanes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked Hurricanes41c60.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Hurricanes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdeef…cd8abacked Hurricanes41c57.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.69580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+67.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Hurricanes41c57.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.533450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Flyers58c54.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.713946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1201…a74dbacked Flyers63c51.45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.954544.4%20 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Hurricanes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5314347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Flyers59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.521155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a61…4db6backed Flyers60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202653.8%14 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda64…b94cbacked Hurricanes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Hurricanes38c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.246456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Flyers73c47.04$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.71,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Hurricanes42c44.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.673644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6a…7155backed Hurricanes41c43.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.823240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Flyers76c40.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.861,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Hurricanes43c38.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5543256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x467e…2a38backed Hurricanes42c35.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.852356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75b5…a1f2backed Flyers59c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.353661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Hurricanes38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.49948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Flyers47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.92857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Flyers73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.133837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Flyers80c24$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.814254.9%78 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Flyers60c23.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.599659.4%57 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Flyers64c20.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5349851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Flyers75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Flyers58c18.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.971,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Flyers60c18.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2910049%49 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6309…1f50backed Flyers80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+52.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.