TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe3c9…4b9cbacked Over45c29,267$13,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,151.052147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under55c12,599$6,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,683.7311952.1%62 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50041842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under55c6,592$3,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.4659450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Over46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30010743%46 W · 61 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under52c4,656$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.781163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74cb…afe6backed Under55c4,411$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over45c4,252$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.822,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under54c3,170$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.8710846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under54c2,764$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.8652050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9202638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9004949%24 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa574…5f84backed Under56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93d5…8508backed Under56c1,755$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Over44c1,650$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7263735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x99eb…0464backed Under66c1,220$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.81862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49526154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Over47c1,057$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.091968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+56%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Under55c803.64$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.6424952.2%130 W · 119 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under54c749.98$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.999353.8%50 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under55c606$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.4983149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.4525449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under52c528.62$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0628652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over28c510.4$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.371,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under54c500$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.750251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under60c443.08$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.373,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Over47c426.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Under51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.162857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under53c367.27$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6211435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under56c357.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.155653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under54c341$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9317248.3%83 W · 89 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under54c329.13$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.418641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over34c328.4$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.16527.7%18 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under52c308.81$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2310545.7%48 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1334…4ce4backed Under55c275.1$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over49c249.41$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2112357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over45c243.58$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0448552.2%253 W · 232 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under55c239.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over46c230$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.855446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8c…85fbbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.222543.1%97 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over44c219.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3924442.6%104 W · 140 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…6a24backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under55c188$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.61,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under56c169.24$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4728749.8%143 W · 144 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Under54c150$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.45038%19 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Under67c149.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.597861.5%48 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over46c147.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7235551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under55c140$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6321155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under54c120$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.963946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over34c109.61$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.312,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over26c108$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3223950.6%121 W · 118 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under60c105.96$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9860449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3982353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514653.4%78 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4441340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over28c95.59$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7799638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Under56c89.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.284252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under56c89.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.284151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under55c88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.66154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over39c80.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5289355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Under56c80.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.379757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under56c78.72$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5621355.4%118 W · 95 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under54c68.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.546841.2%28 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Over47c66.93$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.462867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over45c65.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1533554%181 W · 154 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.46453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0a…50adbacked Under76c59.61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.312352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over45c53.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under73c52.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.114855.4%82 W · 66 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fee…842bbacked Under56c51.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.791770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Under55c50.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.672254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3146…d153backed Under55c50.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Under55c50.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.672157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.518941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over46c48.96$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4514549%71 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under57c47.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6149851%254 W · 244 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over45c47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.389948.5%48 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over44c44.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.828847.2%136 W · 152 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d3…f4ffbacked Over35c44.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…c407backed Under55c44.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over45c43.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7647753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Under51c41.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.074134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188850%44 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3da3backed Over47c36.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.7wins+0.39per pick53cpaid+72%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under79c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6534547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over44c35.71$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.716456.3%36 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7171952.4%377 W · 342 L-2.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under55c30.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.552751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Under69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9914157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c8…9487backed Over45c26.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.927852.6%41 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.