NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c5583364ebdd21a104f1c16877af148116b9f4c95dd71c47f5dcfe7a0495164
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 2,923$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.16 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…c4bfbacked Under | 55c | 2,897$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…07adbacked Under | 55c | 914.55$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…97bebacked Under | 34c | 714.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 59c | 539.2$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 66c | 529.9$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.16 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…58debacked Under | 33c | 416.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 414.42$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.97 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 37c | 361.52$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.55 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 67c | 342.76$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.27 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 62c | 322.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.56 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 68c | 253.56$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed Under | 35c | 223.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 219.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ab…f944backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 46c | 151.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Under | 34c | 150.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 70c | 143.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 42c | 107$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 74c | 101.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…1ef3backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 34c | 99.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 68c | 98.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 62c | 87.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 77c | 85.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 18c | 82.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 38c | 81.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 38c | 75.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 51c | 75.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 29c | 75.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 27c | 63.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Under | 33c | 61.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Under | 32c | 61.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 148 | 55.4%82 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b88…9856backed Under | 32c | 53.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 69c | 52.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 68c | 49.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 38c | 47.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 67c | 45.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…c678backed Over | 61c | 33.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…20b4backed Over | 53c | 29.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Over | 57c | 26.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…cad6backed Over | 64c | 23.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Under | 49c | 23.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…1297backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 67c | 19.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 62c | 16.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. FlyersHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Hurricanes won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.