TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20ab…f944

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarrobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.82
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$91.09
Valencia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaume Munarbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+102%+$101
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Medvedev (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$37.93
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$50.19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$40.96
Cordoba: Franco Roncadelli vs Nicolas Kickerbacked Nicolas Kicker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Medvedevbacked Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Oeiras 4: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodarbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Jiujiang: Xiaodi You vs En-Shuo Liangbacked En-Shuo Liang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Nikolay Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.52
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ivan Erslan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$140.93
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jacqueline Cavalcanti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.47
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$37.96
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$115.2
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+224%+$445.33
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alexander Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Misa Esports vs Ozarox Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.