TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Valencia vs. Panathinaikos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valenciaof Valencia, Panathinaikos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,039 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Panathinaikos42c16,646$7,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,044.511258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3009…19a9backed Valencia60c11,538$6,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,621.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked Panathinaikos33c6,500$2,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Valencia68c6,500$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,079.992055%11 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Valencia79c6,040$4,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.4813046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Valencia59c4,146$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.041154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…55a2backed Panathinaikos41c4,102$1,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Panathinaikos38c3,723$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.1634344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8372…01e6backed Valencia73c2,763$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.042075%15 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Panathinaikos42c2,718$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.658936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Valencia59c2,685$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93d5…8508backed Valencia55c2,660$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Panathinaikos42c2,400$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Panathinaikos34c2,157$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.526744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Valencia57c2,152$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Panathinaikos2c2,080$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Valencia58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Valencia56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8802100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Valencia58c2,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8503855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Panathinaikos27c1,613$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-70.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fce…0ccebacked Valencia64c1,571$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Panathinaikos38c1,505$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.178344.6%37 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Valencia67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.545360.4%32 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x52de…5999backed Panathinaikos43c1,463$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Panathinaikos42c1,347$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.497138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Panathinaikos33c1,323$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Valencia75c1,274$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1637052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bc…67e2backed Panathinaikos35c1,201$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.34714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Valencia67c1,087$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.6143543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62be…444cbacked Valencia59c1,020$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.34862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Valencia55c957.51$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.733063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Valencia74c907.26$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.466747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…9a48backed Panathinaikos44c906.55$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed Panathinaikos28c903.87$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Panathinaikos16c891.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ec…0939backed Valencia55c887.81$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Valencia58c869.34$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.341464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Panathinaikos18c833.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2d…b70dbacked Panathinaikos29c775.08$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Panathinaikos21c739.85$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.831435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Panathinaikos42c727.5$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.736162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Panathinaikos14c685.65$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Valencia69c664.5$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.311729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Panathinaikos29c651.93$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.0914037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc46…79c4backed Panathinaikos28c627.96$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1742321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Panathinaikos45c609.2$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2753050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcff…b4dcbacked Panathinaikos17c590.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Valencia58c588.43$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.341957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7789…2f5dbacked Panathinaikos4c580.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd824…8d96backed Panathinaikos37c543.5$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…b22dbacked Panathinaikos47c528.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Panathinaikos25c526.23$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick29cpaid-65.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Valencia55c525.45$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Valencia58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed Panathinaikos43c499.99$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.831421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb913…e52fbacked Panathinaikos43c488.37$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0650…865cbacked Valencia57c475$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+126.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valencia71c453.18$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6835234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Panathinaikos27c437.45$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.751637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Panathinaikos46c424.76$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Panathinaikos24c417$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.08560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Valencia55c379.84$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Valencia55c378$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.63944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3c3…87aabacked Panathinaikos42c374.65$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc429…138dbacked Panathinaikos17c374.17$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Valencia57c372.99$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.227741.6%32 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Panathinaikos44c372.73$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1643164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Panathinaikos45c361$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.0612454%67 W · 57 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Valencia56c356.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.358247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48a…f397backed Panathinaikos31c350.63$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c52…6431backed Panathinaikos18c337.68$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.152040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Valencia60c328.15$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Panathinaikos25c299.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf991…e769backed Panathinaikos17c298.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Valencia56c278.04$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.344957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5606…676fbacked Panathinaikos23c271.14$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0550%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Panathinaikos41c268.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.281650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Valencia58c262.15$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.12755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Panathinaikos42c252.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.073036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78c…cf91backed Panathinaikos14c250$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Valencia61c240$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.811455.3%63 W · 51 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0281…3b54backed Panathinaikos42c237.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee94…af89backed Panathinaikos18c229.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.650%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x333a…bd76backed Panathinaikos32c219.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e5…6199backed Valencia58c215.08$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.41844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Panathinaikos41c213.69$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9126935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Valencia54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ab…f944backed Panathinaikos20c199.14$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Panathinaikos44c199.13$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6213147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Panathinaikos43c197.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Valencia56c192.86$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.861080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+35.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Panathinaikos11c178.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.651127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…24c5backed Valencia56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Valencia57c176$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.681643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1c…95dcbacked Valencia58c172.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.622564%16 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Valencia58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4110663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18b…51b9backed Panathinaikos43c169.77$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c90…cd7bbacked Panathinaikos8c165.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.45137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Valencia60c163.93$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca94…838fbacked Panathinaikos37c162.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.