Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff5a361b64ce8c838b956bf07381fd067b77c6abd8c8aa3fbde051b2f43a4ce9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rafael Jodarof Matteo Arnaldi, Rafael Jodar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $891,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $994,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $891,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Rafael Jodar | 78c | 80,878$63,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,703.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 23c | 65,564$15,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,312.06 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 62,934$13,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,689.99 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…f3f0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 15c | 34,668$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.99 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Rafael Jodar | 77c | 32,319$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,319.28 | 204 | 59.3%121 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Rafael Jodar | 54c | 29,317$15,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,466.71 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Matteo Arnaldi | 31c | 23,262$7,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,155.2 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 23,085$6,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,436.64 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 22,645$6,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,472.75 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Matteo Arnaldi | 23c | 19,476$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.44 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Rafael Jodar | 79c | 17,993$14,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.59 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 15c | 17,078$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.04 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…0f20backed Rafael Jodar | 69c | 16,909$11,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,301.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc965…c8ecbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 15c | 14,876$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.29 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Rafael Jodar | 74c | 14,144$10,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.64 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Rafael Jodar | 69c | 12,892$8,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.19 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…af7ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 63c | 12,601$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 12,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 25c | 12,352$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.88 | 134 | 27.6%37 W · 97 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…17a2backed Rafael Jodar | 78c | 10,369$8,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Matteo Arnaldi | 23c | 10,060$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.09 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 29c | 8,503$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.79 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 7,932$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.23 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Arnaldi | 27c | 7,536$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.18 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 7,512$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.68 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Matteo Arnaldi | 19c | 6,522$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Rafael Jodar | 49c | 6,241$3,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,180.58 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Rafael Jodar | 77c | 5,195$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.81 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Matteo Arnaldi | 53c | 5,000$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.39 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | +19.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Matteo Arnaldi | 30c | 4,446$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.47 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…2c45backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 4,258$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.01 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 4,197$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.95 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 46c | 4,022$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.29 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Rafael Jodar | 77c | 3,701$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.87 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 3,672$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.96 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Matteo Arnaldi | 12c | 3,671$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.55 | 247 | 41.7%103 W · 144 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 23c | 3,651$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.66 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 3,600$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 11c | 3,535$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.04 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Rafael Jodar | 72c | 3,485$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.77 | 931 | 68.1%634 W · 297 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Matteo Arnaldi | 31c | 3,355$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.77 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 68c | 3,282$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…61e5backed Rafael Jodar | 38c | 3,152$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.53 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Matteo Arnaldi | 13c | 2,985$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.83 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Matteo Arnaldi | 13c | 2,913$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.66 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 2,838$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.27 | 783 | 36%282 W · 501 L | +36.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 2,795$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.8 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 2,704$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.85 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 35c | 2,671$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.52 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Rafael Jodar | 75c | 2,550$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.51 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 2,381$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.61 | 193 | 39.4%76 W · 117 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Matteo Arnaldi | 25c | 2,373$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.3 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169f…5e6cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 2,323$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Rafael Jodar | 78c | 2,300$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Matteo Arnaldi | 16c | 2,039$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.44 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Matteo Arnaldi | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.98 | 718 | 52.8%379 W · 339 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c988backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 1,971$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.74 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Rafael Jodar | 77c | 1,948$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.05 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Rafael Jodar | 69c | 1,935$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.78 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f3…c888backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 1,873$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 21c | 1,864$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.72 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Matteo Arnaldi | 19c | 1,842$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Matteo Arnaldi | 55c | 1,787$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.87 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Matteo Arnaldi | 59c | 1,652$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.46 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 1,625$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…3d06backed Rafael Jodar | 74c | 1,600$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 1,600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 1,558$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.8 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Matteo Arnaldi | 55c | 1,522$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.85 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Rafael Jodar | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 363 | 61.7%224 W · 139 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Matteo Arnaldi | 21c | 1,445$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.07 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Rafael Jodar | 74c | 1,401$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.46 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Rafael Jodar | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Matteo Arnaldi | 23c | 1,355$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.06 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 1,344$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.53 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…b5c5backed Matteo Arnaldi | 56c | 1,320$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.09 | 90 | 57.8%52 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc075…6903backed Rafael Jodar | 78c | 1,278$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.95 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Matteo Arnaldi | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Matteo Arnaldi | 22c | 1,238$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.36 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Matteo Arnaldi | 23c | 1,225$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.66 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Matteo Arnaldi | 23c | 1,194$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.62 | 283 | 38.9%110 W · 173 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Rafael Jodar | 42c | 1,177$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.05 | 975 | 40.1%391 W · 584 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Rafael Jodar | 77c | 1,170$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.9 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Matteo Arnaldi | 25c | 1,123$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.85 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Rafael Jodar | 74c | 1,103$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.7 | 485 | 55.9%271 W · 214 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…d737backed Rafael Jodar | 77c | 1,095$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 1,079$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Rafael Jodar | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Rafael Jodar | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Matteo Arnaldi | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Rafael Jodar | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 247 | 40.5%100 W · 147 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Matteo Arnaldi | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Matteo Arnaldi | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…07fdbacked Rafael Jodar | 77c | 974.03$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.03 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Matteo Arnaldi | 21c | 961.37$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.23 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Rafael Jodar | 77c | 937.39$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Matteo Arnaldi | 24c | 914.02$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodarthis page
- Arnaldi vs. Jodar: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Matteo Arnaldi vs. Rafael Jodar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs JodarJodar won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)Arnaldi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.