TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc075…6903

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
27
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$270.77
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$995Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$282.95
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mexican Open: Tristan Schoolkate vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$66.67
Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Delray Beach Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Mattia Belluccibacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+54%+$54.03
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Shelton (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+40.7%+$42.97
Open Sud de France: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Arthur Filsbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+55.3%+$55.29
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$70.27
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cerundolo (+2.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Australian Open Men's: Rei Sakamoto vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Brisbane International: Quentin Halys vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.58
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Army vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+37%+$37.69
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.1%+$51.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+26.6%+$25.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.