Tennis · resolved market

Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b4ca41c0406171b862edcacf8f0399ff4ad69c723436341f9aae55640e54679

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Medvedevof Medvedev, Nakashima
Resolved: Jan 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $473,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $581,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,562 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Nakashima	7c	89,589$6,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,601.41	8,241	45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L	+166.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Medvedev	78c	30,387$23,664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,723.33	101	62.4%63 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nakashima	11c	28,455$3,168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,168.37	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcec3…b76dbacked Medvedev	78c	24,227$18,847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,380.03	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed Nakashima	22c	23,520$5,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,112.87	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd661…6e34backed Medvedev	78c	20,845$16,209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,635.92	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Nakashima	23c	9,691$2,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,185	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Nakashima	14c	7,260$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	284	44.7%127 W · 157 L	+13.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Medvedev	79c	6,871$5,428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,442.96	659	59%389 W · 270 L	-31.9wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nakashima	23c	6,837$1,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,562.17	2,444	51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L	+14.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nakashima	11c	6,571$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.02	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nakashima	21c	6,345$1,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,330.78	7,018	43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L	+124.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Nakashima	4c	6,192$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.99	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x724b…e780backed Nakashima	22c	5,930$1,305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,304.57	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	35cpaid	-81.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Medvedev	77c	5,000$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	71cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nakashima	7c	4,536$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.11	2,068	34.9%721 W · 1,347 L	-44.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Nakashima	22c	4,505$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.23	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nakashima	22c	4,447$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.34	391	44.2%173 W · 218 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Nakashima	23c	4,311$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.8wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nakashima	22c	4,309$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$947.98	1,039	54.6%567 W · 472 L	+37.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Nakashima	0c	4,078$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.54	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Nakashima	23c	4,005$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.15	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Medvedev	75c	4,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	591	65.3%386 W · 205 L	-16.9wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Nakashima	25c	4,000$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.48	154	47.4%73 W · 81 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Medvedev	77c	3,920$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920.36	191	31.4%60 W · 131 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Medvedev	79c	3,813$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.95	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nakashima	8c	3,398$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.94	2,426	47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L	+45.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nakashima	17c	3,152$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$541.34	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Nakashima	19c	3,000$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.49	1,161	44.3%514 W · 647 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Nakashima	23c	2,800$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644	441	25.4%112 W · 329 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff72…512bbacked Nakashima	6c	2,700$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Nakashima	22c	2,553$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.72	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+6.7wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nakashima	22c	2,547$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	761	40.6%309 W · 452 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Medvedev	79c	2,170$1,714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455.68	620	61.9%384 W · 236 L	-18.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x336a…1915backed Nakashima	25c	2,130$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.5	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Nakashima	22c	2,100$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462	466	49.8%232 W · 234 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Nakashima	23c	1,903$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.97	254	28%71 W · 183 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Nakashima	22c	1,673$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.33	632	47.6%301 W · 331 L	-15.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Nakashima	25c	1,500$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.99	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+7.3wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nakashima	4c	1,475$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.48	1,852	44.5%825 W · 1,027 L	-20.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…892cbacked Nakashima	25c	1,441$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Medvedev	78c	1,300$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286	440	38.4%169 W · 271 L	-27.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Nakashima	22c	1,132$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.07	7,753	47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L	+39.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Nakashima	20c	1,061$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.48	1,655	50.1%829 W · 826 L	+30.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Nakashima	21c	1,060$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.2	277	33.6%93 W · 184 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Nakashima	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	576	45.5%262 W · 314 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Nakashima	10c	999.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	672	49.6%333 W · 339 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5586…e117backed Nakashima	18c	982.61$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	20	25%5 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Nakashima	3c	955.09$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.19	156	5.8%9 W · 147 L	-32.4wins	-0.21per pick	27cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	30-0.18 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Nakashima	12c	902.91$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.64	281	39.1%110 W · 171 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Nakashima	12c	888.05$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.41	222	36.9%82 W · 140 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Nakashima	2c	861.44$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nakashima	13c	802.35$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.01	11,666	43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L	+22.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Nakashima	15c	761.57$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.14	228	40.4%92 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Nakashima	8c	749.95$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.91	120	33.3%40 W · 80 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Nakashima	23c	732.08$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.28	1,218	41.1%500 W · 718 L	-30.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2718…c9c4backed Nakashima	3c	715.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Nakashima	20c	710.42$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.34	2,339	46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L	+55.7wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf0…d53ebacked Medvedev	75c	708.23$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.06	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Nakashima	4c	700.2$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	459	9.6%44 W · 415 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0742…39a7backed Nakashima	22c	617.39$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Nakashima	10c	590$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-3.4wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nakashima	24c	554.6$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.55	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Nakashima	22c	544$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.68	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+11.1wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Medvedev	78c	537.18$419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.18	1,187	62.8%746 W · 441 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Medvedev	79c	506.62$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.41	650	40%260 W · 390 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Nakashima	23c	490$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.7	156	46.8%73 W · 83 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ce…f884backed Nakashima	4c	487.82$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.02	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked Nakashima	13c	485.25$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.75	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nakashima	3c	477.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	2,537	53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L	+61.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nakashima	21c	456.16$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.79	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Nakashima	23c	435.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nakashima	4c	407.36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	6,792	36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L	-98.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acb…ba37backed Medvedev	77c	400$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb74…1a99backed Nakashima	17c	399.99$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	96	30.2%29 W · 67 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Medvedev	76c	396.5$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.5	656	51.8%340 W · 316 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Medvedev	78c	338.18$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.4	27	63%17 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.08per pick	71cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Nakashima	22c	333.99$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.48	581	39.9%232 W · 349 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x848f…612fbacked Medvedev	79c	321.9$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.6	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc662…592fbacked Medvedev	79c	310.23$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.86	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	68cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Nakashima	9c	308.96$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	87	13.8%12 W · 75 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Nakashima	20c	308.36$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.43	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Medvedev	76c	300.21$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.05	128	61.7%79 W · 49 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Nakashima	10c	300$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	597	21.8%130 W · 467 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fa…dc9fbacked Medvedev	77c	300$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc52…bdeebacked Medvedev	77c	300$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2294…4cd3backed Nakashima	22c	300$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	147	44.2%65 W · 82 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Nakashima	17c	286.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	287	26.8%77 W · 210 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc837…2e91backed Medvedev	76c	279.68$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.68	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-5.6wins	-0.21per pick	65cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc6db…3eb3backed Nakashima	22c	272.73$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nakashima	22c	253.83$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.93	7,968	50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L	+92.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed Nakashima	10c	244.5$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.74	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Nakashima	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Nakashima	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	346	37.9%131 W · 215 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Nakashima	8c	217.03$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.82	1,026	46.8%480 W · 546 L	+14.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Nakashima	25c	215$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.7	182	41.8%76 W · 106 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1f…310abacked Nakashima	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Nakashima	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	161	46.6%75 W · 86 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f31…3e23backed Nakashima	7c	200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea8…4e59backed Nakashima	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashimathis page
Medvedev vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Medvedev vs. Nakashima: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
Medvedev vs. Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs NakashimaMedvedev won
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)Medvedev won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brisbane International: Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event