Premier League · resolved market
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8852b5e2aa99d83987ddad2acecb53ee717bd910f1f7f407fe2b53302e50b4d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $683,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $777,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $683,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 21c | 68,375$14,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,358.84 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked No | 79c | 65,790$51,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,968.1 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 16c | 29,397$4,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.06 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 19c | 29,371$5,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,655.41 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 23c | 25,736$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 79c | 23,529$18,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,975.49 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 79c | 21,326$16,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.47 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 18,831$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 2c | 17,955$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.86 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 20c | 14,015$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.97 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 12,686$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 21c | 12,346$2,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.35 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 14c | 10,165$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.26 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 5c | 9,834$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.7 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 21c | 8,761$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.8 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 22c | 7,271$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 79c | 6,837$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.77 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 21c | 6,433$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.01 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 78c | 6,410$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.2 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 15c | 5,399$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.44 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…64bcbacked Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 79c | 4,519$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.42 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 79c | 4,326$3,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.44 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,970$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed No | 80c | 3,750$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 21c | 3,619$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.39 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 3,036$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.42 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 20c | 2,995$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.08 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed Yes | 21c | 2,810$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf8…a92dbacked No | 79c | 2,300$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.01 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed Yes | 1c | 2,121$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…4e8dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,070$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 76c | 2,010$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.3 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed No | 78c | 1,971$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.64 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 79c | 1,923$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.07 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 21c | 1,715$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.15 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,707$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.44 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed No | 80c | 1,664$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 21c | 1,627$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.66 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,624$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 77c | 1,610$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 21c | 1,606$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.58 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 1,600$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.64 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed No | 79c | 1,552$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.92 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 1,536$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0499…7066backed Yes | 1c | 1,444$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 20c | 1,300$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 1,277$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.31 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 22c | 1,200$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.43 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed No | 80c | 1,125$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb865…b6e6backed No | 80c | 1,019$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,015$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.93 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…b8ecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3579…54cdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes | 17c | 890.94$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.2 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 79c | 835$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.35 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 78c | 800$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…958dbacked No | 79c | 759.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 80c | 752.85$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 752$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.04 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…6ab2backed Yes | 21c | 685.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 3c | 667.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 22c | 636.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…4bdebacked No | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…1ef5backed No | 78c | 594.63$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.82 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 22c | 563.64$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…ec4bbacked Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 553.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 78c | 552.7$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f0…c63cbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 21c | 404.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked No | 79c | 401.44$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2baa…e6dbbacked Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 21c | 399.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 20c | 387.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed No | 79c | 378.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 78c | 375.45$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…a81dbacked No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 9c | 365.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 6c | 363.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…bf98backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3904backed No | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d9…4c90backed No | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 78c | 310.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked No | 79c | 306.29$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 20c | 300.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed No | 79c | 300$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.