Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacae0e2b8e45402df2af35b67905ca0bd827e5546ea927ddcaca1724e05c150a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,567,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,967,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,567,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 48c | 348,986$166,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166,568.55 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 253,767$134,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,594.06 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 168,537$89,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,634.62 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 125,273$47,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,369.16 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 51c | 94,860$48,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,057.69 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 46c | 66,029$30,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,699.33 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0f…69b2backed No | 48c | 65,138$31,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,508.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 49c | 63,714$31,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,220.1 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 54c | 51,812$28,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,744.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 51c | 50,836$25,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,901.25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…8acfbacked No | 49c | 40,776$19,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,830.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 45c | 39,940$18,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,172.62 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked No | 45c | 38,054$17,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,300 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked No | 49c | 35,611$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,400 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 52c | 28,835$14,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,840.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 5c | 25,013$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.84 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,249.83 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe818…4bb3backed Yes | 52c | 24,611$12,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,813.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 55c | 21,500$11,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,705 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 21,382$9,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,762.09 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 49c | 21,263$10,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,418.86 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 20,685$9,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,645.17 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 54c | 20,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,249.99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.91 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 49c | 19,992$9,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,796.05 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 24c | 19,708$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730.03 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…57b3backed Yes | 52c | 19,350$10,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,288.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 46c | 19,195$8,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,829.77 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 49c | 18,205$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000.42 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 49c | 18,195$8,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,915.48 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…19c7backed Yes | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.82 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 48c | 17,500$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 49c | 17,452$8,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,562.01 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed No | 48c | 17,448$8,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,375.16 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1a…16a4backed No | 45c | 15,403$6,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,931.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 47c | 14,958$7,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,030.3 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 49c | 13,955$6,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,837.95 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 11,534$5,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.03 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…5bbebacked Yes | 76c | 10,559$8,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 45c | 10,427$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.08 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 42c | 10,389$4,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,388.87 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bd…bdbfbacked No | 48c | 10,342$4,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 49c | 10,048$4,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,923.68 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 53c | 10,000$5,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.98 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.96 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 49c | 9,900$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Yes | 52c | 9,266$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.52 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 54c | 9,257$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,258.19 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 67c | 9,121$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Yes | 51c | 8,307$4,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 8,051$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.79 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 7c | 8,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 54c | 7,978$4,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.55 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked No | 45c | 7,777$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526 | 70 | 82.9%58 W · 12 L | +14.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 54c | 7,340$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed Yes | 50c | 7,000$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,529.99 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 55c | 6,830$3,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.2 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 44c | 6,654$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.48 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…017cbacked No | 49c | 6,459$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 6,358$2,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,971.41 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 49c | 6,355$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.01 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed No | 46c | 6,285$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.64 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed No | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 51c | 5,876$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.47 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes | 51c | 5,865$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.89 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 64cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 49c | 5,800$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked No | 48c | 5,730$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 25c | 5,608$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.97 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 48c | 5,571$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.91 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…f863backed Yes | 55c | 5,478$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 49c | 5,225$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560.19 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 51c | 5,112$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 76c | 5,000$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.6 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.97 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.76 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Yes | 55c | 4,919$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.52 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 3c | 4,885$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 51c | 4,732$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.67 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 49c | 4,699$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.62 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 51c | 4,656$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.38 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 53c | 4,593$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.67 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Yes | 54c | 4,496$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 32c | 4,426$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.56 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked No | 50c | 4,386$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 45c | 4,376$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.92 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 4,371$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.69 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed No | 49c | 4,320$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…337bbacked No | 49c | 4,256$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 47c | 4,175$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.79 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…8548backed Yes | 49c | 4,114$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 49c | 4,110$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.9 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 51c | 4,054$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.45 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed No | 49c | 4,029$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.03 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.