Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6217f2b52633104788ee7cb57579450c8373595e543d4de4b9fd56630f6a146
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $213,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 37,978$9,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,491.11 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 72c | 31,778$22,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,903.92 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 28c | 25,712$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 15,947$11,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.85 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 28c | 15,017$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,204.87 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 13,225$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,697.07 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 28c | 12,461$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.73 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 5,177$3,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.16 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 5,027$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.29 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 75c | 3,905$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.29 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 3,838$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.95 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,410$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.98 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 72c | 3,165$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.62 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 2,529$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.77 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 2,304$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.5 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 27c | 2,192$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.09 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…038cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 73c | 1,507$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.85 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 25c | 1,500$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.5 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 34c | 1,474$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 4c | 1,355$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 26c | 1,282$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 26c | 1,146$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,118$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.33 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 26c | 1,111$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.98 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 73c | 1,097$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.16 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 27c | 1,096$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.95 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 1,021$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.37 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 75c | 999.42$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.85 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 20c | 998.04$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.61 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 942.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.41 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9186…9220backed No | 73c | 911.12$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 73c | 894.27$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.45 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed No | 74c | 822.56$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 73c | 821.97$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.97 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 72c | 800$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 758.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 26c | 755.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 8c | 664.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 26c | 556.28$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 28c | 500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 77c | 498.39$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed No | 73c | 411.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 74c | 400$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…f54bbacked Yes | 26c | 382.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…3e28backed Yes | 27c | 363.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…2086backed Yes | 28c | 363.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…5aa1backed Yes | 28c | 342.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 67c | 340$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes | 27c | 300.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Yes | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb008…03d8backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 72c | 299.9$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c81…4e8dbacked Yes | 5c | 292.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed No | 74c | 269.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…05eabacked Yes | 19c | 256.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed No | 73c | 250.85$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked No | 75c | 240.64$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 72c | 240$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 72c | 240$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…fe74backed Yes | 27c | 235.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 73c | 235$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 35c | 234.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 74c | 230.06$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 73c | 217$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 200.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…01b0backed Yes | 25c | 169.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes | 27c | 167.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 28c | 164.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -9.5wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 27c | 149.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -9.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 27c | 127.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 20c | 125.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…0677backed Yes | 28c | 124.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 14c | 123.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 18c | 122.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 10c | 121.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?Yes won
- Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.