College Football · resolved market
Army vs. Navy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47adc138a89d04c275543a8f97ea676ad69c0837e0442a5e9c9c9a9c466f000e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navyof Army, Navy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $877,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,025,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $877,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Army | 39c | 89,933$34,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,848.74 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Navy | 72c | 67,057$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,057.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Navy | 70c | 60,939$42,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,517.45 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Navy | 70c | 55,555$38,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,666.5 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Navy | 70c | 50,000$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,999.98 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Army | 29c | 50,000$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,499.96 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Army | 29c | 32,470$9,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,416.33 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Army | 30c | 28,500$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,550 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Army | 29c | 26,007$7,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,541.97 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Navy | 71c | 23,335$16,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,804.01 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Navy | 80c | 22,699$18,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.73 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Navy | 64c | 21,341$13,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,785.63 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Army | 30c | 20,366$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,109.8 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Army | 30c | 19,832$5,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,949.6 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Navy | 70c | 18,910$13,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,652.72 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Army | 30c | 15,017$4,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,504.21 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Army | 28c | 15,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Army | 30c | 13,630$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Army | 59c | 12,412$7,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,323.15 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Navy | 70c | 12,062$8,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.57 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Army | 29c | 9,840$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.59 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Navy | 72c | 9,678$6,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700.73 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Navy | 70c | 8,806$6,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.56 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…58a6backed Army | 44c | 7,749$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9e…302dbacked Army | 30c | 7,499$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Army | 41c | 6,445$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.21 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Navy | 48c | 6,212$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.55 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Army | 32c | 6,029$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.57 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Navy | 72c | 5,803$4,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Army | 29c | 5,593$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.79 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Army | 30c | 5,405$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.39 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Army | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Navy | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c06…2ec0backed Navy | 71c | 4,600$3,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Navy | 45c | 4,000$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.72 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Navy | 52c | 3,181$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.01 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…6fe9backed Navy | 64c | 3,112$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Army | 35c | 2,916$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.91 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…e40cbacked Navy | 70c | 2,900$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Navy | 64c | 2,900$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.54 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Army | 45c | 2,900$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Navy | 43c | 2,723$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.86 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Army | 1c | 2,550$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Navy | 61c | 2,466$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.91 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Army | 34c | 2,164$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.82 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Navy | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…03aebacked Army | 66c | 2,049$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Navy | 70c | 1,900$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Army | 60c | 1,775$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Army | 30c | 1,711$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.32 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Army | 1c | 1,656$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Army | 30c | 1,653$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.9 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…cec1backed Navy | 70c | 1,613$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…0b38backed Army | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a8…3d3fbacked Army | 30c | 1,605$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Army | 19c | 1,577$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…3a91backed Navy | 50c | 1,517$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.38 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…c497backed Navy | 64c | 1,467$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Army | 45c | 1,400$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.6 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Navy | 70c | 1,206$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.86 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Army | 66c | 1,076$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Army | 29c | 1,064$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.88 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Navy | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…2492backed Army | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Army | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Army | 51c | 990.75$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.33 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b1…6d0bbacked Navy | 71c | 985.92$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Army | 16c | 913$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.26 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Navy | 55c | 908.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.51 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Navy | 55c | 904.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.2 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…b10bbacked Navy | 56c | 900$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Navy | 42c | 896.13$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Army | 29c | 887.44$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.12 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Navy | 49c | 865.9$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.88 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…a8e6backed Navy | 47c | 863.9$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…a240backed Navy | 41c | 854.37$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.16 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Army | 31c | 806.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Army | 39c | 800.79$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf546…de65backed Army | 51c | 794.12$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Army | 46c | 770.44$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.5 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Army | 30c | 726.4$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Army | 70c | 712.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Navy | 63c | 700.37$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.9 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Navy | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Army | 52c | 694.01$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.03 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Army | 30c | 655.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Army | 30c | 649.01$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.56 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Army | 30c | 647.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.38 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Army | 66c | 620$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…5c53backed Navy | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Navy | 71c | 595.55$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.71 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Army | 38c | 580.5$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.22 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Navy | 71c | 540$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Navy | 51c | 522.23$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.23 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Army | 29c | 518.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Army | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Army | 30c | 494.79$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e4…ddfdbacked Navy | 33c | 490.72$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Navy | 62c | 450$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.36 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…27d0backed Army | 58c | 449.14$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Army vs. Navythis page
- Army vs. Navy: 1H MoneylineArmy won
- Army vs. Navy: O/U 39.5Under won
- O/U 38.5Under won
- Spread: Navy (-6.5)Army won
- Spread: Navy (-7.5)Army won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.