College Football · resolved market
Spread: Navy (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29f9701811e904d83229f553efe24478f957c0b32dec1f559b2d54b14d4430b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Armyof Navy, Army
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Army | 47c | 5,904$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,110.42 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Navy | 52c | 4,000$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Navy | 43c | 2,863$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.09 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Army | 57c | 1,764$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.43 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Navy | 54c | 1,490$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.6 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Army | 57c | 1,209$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.02 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Navy | 42c | 1,153$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.41 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Army | 57c | 950.95$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.91 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Army | 57c | 761$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.23 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Navy | 41c | 606.98$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.98 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Army | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Navy | 43c | 444$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Navy | 53c | 319$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.07 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Army | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fe…e78cbacked Navy | 43c | 262.79$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Navy | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Navy | 55c | 185$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Army | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navy | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Army | 58c | 112$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Army | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Navy | 44c | 43.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Navy (-7.5)this page
- Army vs. NavyNavy won
- Army vs. Navy: 1H MoneylineArmy won
- Army vs. Navy: O/U 39.5Under won
- O/U 38.5Under won
- Spread: Navy (-6.5)Army won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.