College Football · resolved market
O/U 38.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fbdfaadf26b74d517573a92bbd05646e1f08d8f8e3037674bf4c70af354313d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 48c | 11,004$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,321.25 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Under | 52c | 5,945$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.7 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 5,025$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.24 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 4,290$2,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.92 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Over | 55c | 4,020$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,711$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.34 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Over | 48c | 2,858$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.75 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 2,097$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.13 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Under | 50c | 2,056$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 51c | 1,850$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.34 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Over | 49c | 1,361$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.66 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Under | 44c | 1,314$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.54 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 1,097$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.07 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.9 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 629.62$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Under | 53c | 469.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 14c | 402$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 72c | 274$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…a8e6backed Over | 50c | 266$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Under | 44c | 251$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Over | 51c | 234$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 40c | 116.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 46c | 112$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed Under | 51c | 105.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…2467backed Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…99debacked Under | 52c | 76.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 74.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8c06backed Under | 53c | 68.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…2b53backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 47.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x254a…7975backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…6043backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Under | 54c | 36.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Over | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 38.5this page
- Army vs. NavyNavy won
- Army vs. Navy: 1H MoneylineArmy won
- Army vs. Navy: O/U 39.5Under won
- Spread: Navy (-6.5)Army won
- Spread: Navy (-7.5)Army won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.