College Football · resolved market
Army vs. Navy: O/U 39.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2ee499df7975feb851a8029361db918426dc0f513ba1b5447f8a8a321b21361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 5,901$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.9 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Over | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 45c | 3,403$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.53 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 2,136$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.12 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 54c | 1,537$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.11 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc7…cf77backed Under | 56c | 1,190$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.8 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Under | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 50c | 726.78$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Under | 47c | 507.66$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.28 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd59a…ac62backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Under | 44c | 174.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 148$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…794fbacked Under | 57c | 145.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 48c | 130.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 55c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 56c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…a20dbacked Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Over | 47c | 52.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 53c | 52.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd6…e41dbacked Over | 47c | 52.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…a8e6backed Over | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Over | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 29.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Over | 45c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Army vs. Navy: O/U 39.5this page
- Army vs. NavyNavy won
- Army vs. Navy: 1H MoneylineArmy won
- O/U 38.5Under won
- Spread: Navy (-6.5)Army won
- Spread: Navy (-7.5)Army won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.