TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Navy (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Armyof Navy, Army
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$505,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$561,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Navy50c120,162$60,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,653.4652449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Army49c117,432$57,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,448.7593548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Army51c70,244$35,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,519.6815352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Army53c56,155$29,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,522.024738.3%18 W · 29 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Army50c43,414$21,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,707.092347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Army50c41,620$20,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,810.034163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Navy51c33,991$17,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,335.3632745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Navy50c29,800$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,8005851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Navy50c29,330$14,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,529.3911849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Navy49c26,808$13,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,0472,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe73e…74febacked Navy51c17,000$8,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6703951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Navy50c15,160$7,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,577.5758850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Navy51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,65039954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Navy14c14,577$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.2516234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Navy49c12,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,88038546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Navy49c9,197$4,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,505.8462843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Army49c7,828$3,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,992.262657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Army50c6,157$3,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.63151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Navy50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Army51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,94029055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Navy49c4,625$2,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.3863243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Navy49c4,572$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,240.2814743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Navy50c3,750$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87548546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Navy51c3,399$1,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.5438450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Navy51c3,046$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.468544.7%38 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Navy50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Navy40c2,615$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.9464841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Navy48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Navy49c2,380$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,173.119457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb728…fc92backed Navy18c2,200$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Army48c2,087$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.146046.7%28 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Navy51c2,010$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.7919849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Army52c1,937$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.642751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc7…cf77backed Navy52c1,068$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.556645.5%30 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Army50c956.67$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03fc…a8e6backed Navy18c808.46$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Army49c746.37$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.6511851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Navy51c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3574847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe832…7abbbacked Navy49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7148…8fbfbacked Navy17c600$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Navy50c590.57$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.765945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Army51c525$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2516747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Navy49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2454744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Army51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24511149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Navy52c480.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Navy50c458$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.923537.1%13 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Navy49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19620950.2%105 W · 104 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Navy50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Navy50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Army50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15056844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Navy51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Navy51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15311354.9%62 W · 51 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x114c…53f4backed Navy50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Army51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.511436%41 W · 73 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Navy50c224.27$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.147443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Army49c220$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.210944%48 W · 61 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x215b…3e6cbacked Navy51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Navy51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Navy52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Navy50c175$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.751833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Navy50c170$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Navy47c159.91$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87d5…fe30backed Navy51c157.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.151233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Navy49c152$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4821644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Navy27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.557144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Army49c131$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.323748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Navy50c127.77$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.772360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Army40c121.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.946051.7%31 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Navy51c114.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3226846.3%124 W · 144 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Navy48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509050%45 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Navy50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503135.5%11 W · 20 L-6.1wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-36.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x15e3…b3e8backed Army50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4451…c6afbacked Army50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd368…1889backed Navy51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516241.9%26 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Army52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…129ebacked Navy49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Navy51c99.9$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.882729.6%8 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-49.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Army49c97.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.837254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Army78c97.59$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7126939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Army51c95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7611056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Navy49c89.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7454243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed Navy51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.84250%21 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf36…94e8backed Army50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402969%20 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f79…c16cbacked Army50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Navy51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c9…bacfbacked Navy50c75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f6…f838backed Navy51c66.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed57…e0a0backed Navy51c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.647847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa15a…4e72backed Navy51c58.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b8…81a9backed Navy51c52.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Army49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0216050%80 W · 80 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a8…a04bbacked Navy52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa63d…f4e8backed Army52c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e12…dd1dbacked Navy51c41.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Navy49c40.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.082548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…666cbacked Army50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick50cpaid+74.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Army50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74e6…99e8backed Navy51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Navy49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Navy51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-77.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.