TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb728…fc92

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Movies, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT8356.6%47 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Sunderland finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$35.76
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30.5
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$19.5
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.1
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.15
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$118
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$120.25
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick17cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.24
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$147.5
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.43
Will Frankenstein win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.08
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$122.74
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+266.1%+$360.96
Will Frankenstein win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.08
Will Guillermo del Toro win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.94
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+249.8%+$357.07
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.92
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.47
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317 Parlay: Topuria + Pantojabacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$13.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$109.64
US forces in Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 41.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$80.1
Spread: Navy (-6.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$388
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+42.5%+$44.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.