MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e24327f648ab369b9cba25df26f8c55217464f96412412f6b242b1042822a24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $449,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Nationals | 47c | 72,984$34,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,681.45 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Angels | 53c | 44,558$23,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,615.73 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Angels | 73c | 28,099$20,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,493.98 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Angels | 53c | 19,954$10,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,575.75 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nationals | 26c | 19,460$5,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,307.55 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Nationals | 44c | 8,203$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,593.57 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Angels | 73c | 7,616$5,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,579.01 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Angels | 69c | 5,636$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915.94 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Angels | 71c | 5,086$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.88 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 46c | 5,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.99 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nationals | 39c | 4,460$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.25 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Nationals | 42c | 3,790$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.52 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nationals | 34c | 2,917$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.67 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Nationals | 29c | 2,917$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.12 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Angels | 65c | 2,773$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.96 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Angels | 56c | 2,727$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.39 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Angels | 55c | 2,668$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.44 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Angels | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Nationals | 38c | 2,360$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.55 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Nationals | 30c | 2,285$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.23 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Nationals | 28c | 2,061$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.45 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Nationals | 21c | 1,746$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.04 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…e428backed Nationals | 22c | 1,745$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Nationals | 25c | 1,697$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.86 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Nationals | 38c | 1,463$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.55 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Nationals | 54c | 1,377$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.27 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nationals | 46c | 1,312$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.23 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Angels | 54c | 1,302$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.07 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Nationals | 47c | 1,133$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.29 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nationals | 43c | 1,100$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e276backed Nationals | 42c | 1,100$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 56cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Nationals | 48c | 987.51$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.8 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Nationals | 45c | 847.01$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.86 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Nationals | 47c | 800$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.8 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Angels | 11c | 749.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 62c | 740.06$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.33 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Angels | 56c | 736.95$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.85 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Nationals | 49c | 716.12$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.22 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…f924backed Angels | 71c | 714.85$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Angels | 54c | 697.23$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.5 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Nationals | 22c | 685.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.53 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Nationals | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Angels | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9850…4708backed Nationals | 34c | 612.68$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.68 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Nationals | 46c | 552$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Angels | 54c | 549.74$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.86 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nationals | 43c | 536.01$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.53 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Angels | 3c | 535.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 46c | 517.58$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.99 | 4,197 | 50.2%2,106 W · 2,091 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nationals | 40c | 509.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.59 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Angels | 56c | 499.03$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Angels | 69c | 473$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.61 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Angels | 54c | 462.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.62 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Angels | 55c | 443.99$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 70c | 420.09$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.19 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Angels | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Angels | 66c | 379.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed Angels | 52c | 365.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 36c | 361.95$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…453cbacked Nationals | 23c | 353.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…db66backed Angels | 80c | 334.91$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.93 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 31c | 327.51$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.43 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Angels | 63c | 317.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 31c | 273.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.63 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Angels | 71c | 265.75$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Angels | 76c | 259.58$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.39 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Nationals | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Angels | 8c | 243.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 44c | 239.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Nationals | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Angels | 75c | 213.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Angels | 70c | 213$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Angels | 68c | 209.69$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Angels | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Angels | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Nationals | 44c | 199.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Angels | 7c | 192.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Nationals | 47c | 192.56$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Nationals | 26c | 175.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.73 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 40c | 167.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…e9c1backed Nationals | 23c | 159.6$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b2…9d97backed Angels | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Angels | 54c | 144.35$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Angels | 74c | 135.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…ea50backed Angels | 77c | 125.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Nationals | 24c | 124.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce8…fddabacked Angels | 54c | 123$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nationals | 22c | 121.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Nationals | 41c | 120.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…9e40backed Nationals | 12c | 119.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.83 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…82cabacked Nationals | 47c | 115$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Angels | 54c | 111.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Nationals | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Nationals | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Nationals | 31c | 105.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 47c | 104.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f3…fcf5backed Angels | 54c | 103.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.