MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a3d55c9a74768b119f5570e11840bbc05bb8ed4d7d9912b9577cf01afedbe72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Mets, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Mets | 59c | 28,578$16,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,800 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 43c | 19,252$8,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,015.52 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 42c | 8,300$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,814 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Mets | 57c | 8,251$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Pirates | 40c | 8,094$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,856.63 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Mets | 57c | 7,016$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 5c | 4,428$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.67 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mets | 1c | 4,058$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pirates | 43c | 4,000$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.03 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 58c | 3,853$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.54 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 63c | 3,671$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.38 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 39c | 3,077$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.07 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mets | 57c | 2,905$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.91 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Pirates | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Mets | 57c | 2,312$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.65 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Mets | 55c | 1,962$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.63 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.18 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pirates | 41c | 1,696$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.77 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 42c | 1,440$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.76 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Pirates | 44c | 1,396$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.62 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb2…685bbacked Mets | 58c | 1,188$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mets | 1c | 1,138$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mets | 5c | 999.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Pirates | 43c | 929.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.77 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mets | 4c | 785.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Mets | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mets | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 42c | 654.58$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.66 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Mets | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…bbc7backed Mets | 38c | 550.88$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Pirates | 78c | 509$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Mets | 60c | 503.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Mets | 60c | 500.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mets | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Pirates | 44c | 500$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.38 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Mets | 4c | 429.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…f924backed Pirates | 43c | 405.79$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.3 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Pirates | 50c | 400.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.6 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Mets | 57c | 389.3$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.9 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Mets | 55c | 324.12$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.27 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Mets | 59c | 304.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pirates | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mets | 34c | 292.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Mets | 57c | 274.28$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 41c | 244.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Pirates | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Pirates | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 68c | 227.21$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Mets | 15c | 217.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Pirates | 46c | 215.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.68 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Mets | 29c | 213.55$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Pirates | 44c | 211.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Pirates | 41c | 199.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 41c | 199.97$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Mets | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Mets | 57c | 175$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Mets | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Pirates | 61c | 171.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Mets | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mets | 58c | 141.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Mets | 58c | 138$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 44c | 125.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 57c | 125.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…6204backed Pirates | 41c | 124.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…a30dbacked Pirates | 42c | 122.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Pirates | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 45c | 118.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9725…853fbacked Pirates | 44c | 115.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 41c | 111.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Mets | 59c | 105.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Pirates | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 42c | 99.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.13 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Mets | 57c | 94.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Pirates | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…8a9fbacked Mets | 60c | 90.78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…ad21backed Mets | 60c | 89.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d4…8008backed Mets | 58c | 87.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Mets | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3b42backed Mets | 60c | 83.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…a0a9backed Pirates | 42c | 80.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4828…2228backed Mets | 60c | 79.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Pirates | 44c | 79.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Mets | 56c | 71.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Mets | 57c | 70.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…c9c8backed Pirates | 43c | 68.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Pirates | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Pirates | 67c | 59.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Pirates | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Mets | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…f695backed Mets | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…aae4backed Mets | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Pirates | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Pirates | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…9bc7backed Pirates | 42c | 49.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pirates | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.