Movies · resolved market

Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabf5a06d4a3138b7f8e008d6182cc73a9dd5a3de680b84d53d247e1d4383cc25

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $58,061
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,582

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,061 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x722f…f17fbacked No	29c	1,437$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,016.79	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed Yes	44c	1,306$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.64	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	34c	1,240$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.8	299	26.4%79 W · 220 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed No	57c	982$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.59	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+6.8wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+50.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x090a…cd55backed No	52c	838$436 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.24	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+4.1wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+21%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3af9…2cdbbacked No	52c	833$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.84	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	38cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No	72c	809.91$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.13	129	23.3%30 W · 99 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc771…e858backed No	55c	805$443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.25	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes	49c	803$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.47	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	59c	792.62$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.23	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xf58d…a617backed Yes	44c	763$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.72	20	55%11 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d38…e898backed No	51c	745$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.05	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked Yes	48c	743$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.64	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x523d…cc1dbacked Yes	45c	685$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.25	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26ad…990ebacked No	56c	668$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.76	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b0…f5bebacked No	56c	622$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.68	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked Yes	44c	601$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.44	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbf49…6cfebacked No	51c	595$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.55	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc0…fab9backed No	56c	593$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.92	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45ff…bab6backed Yes	44c	593$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.76	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked No	56c	570$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.8	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a79…1ccbbacked Yes	49c	552$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.48	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a2…7b65backed No	40c	550.69$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.4	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes	42c	545$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.13	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cf…90e6backed No	26c	539$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$398.86	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes	74c	537$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.38	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb212…0f8ebacked No	28c	530$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.6	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53d…8ab8backed No	56c	520$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.8	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes	44c	518$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.92	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x385f…3c30backed Yes	49c	511$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.39	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.3wins	-0.20per pick	36cpaid	-77.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed No	56c	498$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.12	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc713…891fbacked Yes	42c	470$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.7	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x252c…391abacked Yes	76c	439$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.64	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes	40c	432$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.8	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes	76c	425$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked No	71c	423$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.87	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked Yes	48c	421$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.93	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f6…595cbacked No	60c	404$241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.15	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes	44c	404$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.76	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked No	56c	393$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.92	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf528…4441backed Yes	49c	368$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.32	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e79…e974backed No	55c	366$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.7	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes	32c	365$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.8	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc40a…1f50backed No	68c	364$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.48	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.5wins	-0.21per pick	50cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed No	50c	361.08$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.08	237	41.4%98 W · 139 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cae…c0eebacked No	56c	361$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.84	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1930…691cbacked No	60c	348.38$209 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.38	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked No	57c	342$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.06	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes	48c	341$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.68	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf23e…aec3backed Yes	45c	334$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.3	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7775…6cb4backed No	56c	334$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.34	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes	26c	324$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.86	266	41.7%111 W · 155 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17be…7a33backed Yes	74c	322$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.28	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.20per pick	41cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed Yes	48c	320$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.6	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed Yes	32c	320$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.4	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed Yes	48c	319$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.12	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes	35c	299.99$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	137	40.1%55 W · 82 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f33…81f6backed Yes	76c	294$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.44	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed No	55c	289.95$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.95	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f3…be1dbacked No	72c	287$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.52	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+4.6wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+30%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7233…f0eabacked Yes	38c	284$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.92	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed No	52c	270.02$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.02	157	39.5%62 W · 95 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked No	56c	269$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.36	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a94…7154backed Yes	41c	255.01$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.38	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb728…fc92backed Yes	18c	250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4406…5eafbacked No	58c	242$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.64	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x993c…eae0backed Yes	42c	242$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.64	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7534…d51bbacked No	61c	242$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.25	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bbb…5c80backed No	60c	241$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.4	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb862…5aaebacked No	52c	240$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.2	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes	48c	240$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.2	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa5…8f79backed No	57c	238.94$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.94	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7aa…814cbacked No	35c	237$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.05	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.65per pick	35cpaid	+185.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8acf…2f7bbacked Yes	41c	236$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.76	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2247…96e8backed No	71c	236$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.44	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…f404backed Yes	39c	231.01$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.09	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked No	51c	228$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.72	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes	28c	228$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.84	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d66…fc54backed No	64c	228$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.08	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa457…1a93backed No	72c	224$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.72	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	40c	222$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.8	71	25.4%18 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…ac22backed No	26c	216$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.84	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes	54c	215$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.35	331	23.9%79 W · 252 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5395…9d41backed No	56c	212$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.28	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+4.6wins	+0.31per pick	49cpaid	+89.4%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x501c…7d41backed No	36c	212$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.68	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5bc…2ad5backed Yes	44c	212$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.28	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes	58c	194$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.69	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b92…f4c6backed No	51c	190$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.1	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-4.2wins	-0.20per pick	44cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4348…fa2abacked Yes	32c	190$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e5…d252backed No	60c	186$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.4	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafea…230bbacked Yes	44c	182$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.08	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+56.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed No	52c	181$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.88	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No	46c	175$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.75	208	41.8%87 W · 121 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a16…0c03backed No	63c	174$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.38	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7086…f376backed Yes	37c	174$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.38	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54af…415ebacked No	62c	173$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.74	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed Yes	48c	173$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.04	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…bcf0backed Yes	40c	168$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.4	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed7…b0a5backed Yes	44c	166$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.04	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4657…00d6backed No	74c	165$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.25	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-42%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event