Movies · resolved market

Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f298e31c2f8daa41cef06bf0e8aa99e814a581ee6bb277af3eec85ce8e36f73

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $57,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $57,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,332 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	40c	2,252$896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$896.36	285	28.8%82 W · 203 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83be…6f94backed No	48c	1,298$623 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.96	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+4.6wins	+0.21per pick	47cpaid	+49.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x636a…09aabacked Yes	48c	1,192$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.16	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2934…9a60backed No	54c	1,181$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.05	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed No	51c	1,123$575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.57	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed Yes	53c	1,056$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.68	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-6.1wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d34…7c14backed Yes	36c	1,036$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.95	92	38%35 W · 57 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked No	52c	1,025$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed Yes	45c	1,011$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.95	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked No	64c	978$624 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.23	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb88…6b99backed Yes	48c	971$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.39	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-5.4wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6587…4f63backed No	55c	940$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No	63c	812$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.54	346	51.2%177 W · 169 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+10%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4406…5eafbacked No	51c	811$414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.39	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes	38c	802.25$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.52	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed Yes	43c	777.98$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.29	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes	50c	742$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.18	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes	45c	713$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.85	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.1wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e96…c895backed Yes	36c	710$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.6	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda64…9bc5backed Yes	45c	702$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.9	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe539…5345backed No	64c	683$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.88	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-43%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3214…f00ebacked Yes	52c	672$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.44	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+4.3wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes	37c	672$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.64	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e4e…6533backed No	48c	657$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$341.64	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8624…b484backed Yes	49c	655$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.95	45	42.2%19 W · 26 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked Yes	49c	655$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.95	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdaf…f63cbacked No	53c	621$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.39	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ad…e59abacked No	48c	618$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.36	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5243…a73cbacked No	48c	606$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.12	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x672b…68d2backed Yes	45c	604$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.8	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2247…96e8backed Yes	49c	592$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.08	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed No	47c	570$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.1	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…1868backed No	71c	564.57$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b63…52cfbacked No	59c	562$332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.42	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f5…d7aabacked No	55c	552$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.4	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.27per pick	35cpaid	+74.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	63c	547$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.78	299	26.4%79 W · 220 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa232…175fbacked No	48c	530$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.6	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-42%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1d7…8c45backed Yes	36c	525$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	70c	515$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.43	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4582…7699backed No	51c	512$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.88	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40a1…8919backed Yes	52c	508$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.16	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x750b…7a65backed Yes	52c	507$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.64	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed No	63c	507$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.59	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x523d…cc1dbacked Yes	48c	462$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.76	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.7wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf085…a01fbacked Yes	49c	427$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.23	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed No	58c	424$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.01	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed Yes	52c	408$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.16	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06cd…e124backed No	49c	406$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.06	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.18per pick	40cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes	47c	388.82$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.58	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed No	48c	388$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.76	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc94…efd5backed Yes	34c	384$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.56	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes	52c	377$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.04	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a2…7b65backed Yes	40c	375.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.52	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No	57c	371.5$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.16	129	23.3%30 W · 99 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98ed…7a3fbacked Yes	52c	360$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-60%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18fa…3730backed No	48c	360$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.2	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No	61c	359.34$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.89	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6891…1146backed No	64c	351$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.36	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b4b…1fb3backed No	66c	343$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.62	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-36%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c55…8adebacked Yes	41c	340$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.4	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked No	55c	333$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.85	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d17…0e2bbacked No	61c	329$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.31	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ed0…0532backed Yes	39c	329$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.31	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.4wins	-0.38per pick	60cpaid	-65.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x29b4…c17abacked No	51c	318$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.82	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7eae…3562backed Yes	24c	314$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.36	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed Yes	52c	314$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.28	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes	31c	313$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.37	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes	35c	309.5$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.82	237	41.4%98 W · 139 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bcd…e98bbacked No	47c	292$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.76	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f3…09e0backed No	51c	291$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.59	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes	52c	289$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.28	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed No	55c	285$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.25	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed No	65c	285$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.89	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked No	64c	284.61$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.46	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+106.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e1c…7406backed Yes	52c	280$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	35c	275.74$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.74	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes	22c	273.43$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.15	178	21.3%38 W · 140 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04da…dc10backed Yes	51c	267$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.17	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dd8…757abacked No	52c	266$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.68	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.1wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f52…a35abacked No	49c	258$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.58	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+5.7wins	+0.27per pick	44cpaid	+90.5%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed No	48c	254$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.08	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2064…e748backed Yes	34c	254$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.36	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafea…230bbacked No	64c	244$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.84	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+56.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes	52c	242$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.84	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed No	76c	228$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.72	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11f…2d2cbacked No	48c	224$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.48	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-36%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked Yes	49c	219$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.31	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed No	66c	217$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.78	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No	58c	208$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.71	266	41.7%111 W · 155 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7170…ed44backed No	76c	201$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.24	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4516…ea0ebacked No	61c	201$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.39	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No	63c	201$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.41	331	23.9%79 W · 252 L	+12.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-15%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb8…ec8dbacked No	52c	196$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.08	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5056…f991backed No	61c	195$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.05	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked Yes	39c	187.19$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.52	131	30.5%40 W · 91 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d26…c9f4backed Yes	41c	178$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.98	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.20per pick	47cpaid	-55.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd907…f15fbacked Yes	49c	177$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.73	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea45…e748backed No	48c	174.2$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.35	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes	39c	171$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.69	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+4.4wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	40c	163.81$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.72	1,218	17.8%217 W · 1,001 L	-124.0wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
Will Bret Howe & Mary Vernieu (Wake Up Dead Man) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Cassandra Kulukundis (One Battle After Another) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Douglas Aibel & Nina Gold (Jay Kelly) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Francine Maisler (Sinners) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Kei Kawamura & Yumi Takada (Rental Family) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Lucy Bevan & Emily Brockmann (F1) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Margery Simkin (Avatar: Fire and Ash) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Yngvill Kolset Haga & Avy Kaufman (Sentimental Value) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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