TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$676,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$684,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes48c379,425$181,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,761.955352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No52c152,506$79,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,277.9115344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No52c145,481$75,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,786.8118950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes51c53,986$27,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,532.9724846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No49c42,399$20,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,596.2321853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c33,125$17,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,831.132,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes46c20,000$9,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,199.992250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No52c13,000$6,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2406137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No53c11,514$6,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,366.2924146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No55c11,195$6,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,054.271,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No52c10,723$5,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,151.041,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No53c10,550$5,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,958.52365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+62.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No52c10,179$5,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,884.0325752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No49c9,665$4,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,929.1510455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed No53c7,304$3,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,458.884447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…540abacked No54c7,070$3,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes51c6,153$3,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,137.991,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes46c5,579$2,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.461,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No52c5,386$2,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.4437054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74b3…490ebacked Yes45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73ad…eae6backed No54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c4,454$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.076,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84010050%50 W · 50 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed No51c3,564$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.432556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No54c3,485$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.5531053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes31c3,278$1,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0307343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No52c2,700$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.8739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes45c2,663$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.2932158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No51c2,647$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.0619652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes41c2,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03525836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes46c2,419$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.891631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0ae…41afbacked No54c2,263$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63df…36c4backed Yes47c2,234$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0502133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c2,014$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.241,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92017042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02011349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94015748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No49c1,950$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.57542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No50c1,626$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81372249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73e…021cbacked Yes8c1,511$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-66.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6908747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa8…2071backed Yes47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ce…6f34backed No54c1,424$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.071258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes47c1,398$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.868942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes36c1,200$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42822534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5521,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes53c1,131$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.081540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes21c1,120$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.611533.9%39 W · 76 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005518.2%10 W · 45 L-9.5wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7469…cbc5backed Yes50c1,010$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.381145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c8…e4f7backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No54c999.96$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.986046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b2f…2fdcbacked No50c970.51$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked No53c950$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.514943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked No53c902.25$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.069246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes52c848.17$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.278842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes32c832.28$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.112,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38436956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No48c798.95$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.454953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes49c793.89$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.0118259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed No64c779.09$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.178662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed No52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2314544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes51c750.68$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.855352.8%28 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked No52c747.19$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.435850%29 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc18f…bb01backed Yes19c678.95$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1291637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Yes46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Yes48c620.25$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.727557.3%43 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+37.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed No52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.53464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No53c598.26$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.4432453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25f1…9d5ebacked Yes46c578.47$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.11421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No52c549.14$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3629458.2%171 W · 123 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No55c520$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.610159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed No55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2259843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc923…5a59backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23521656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40160%0 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No53c499.96$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3218551.9%96 W · 89 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No58c499.04$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.311,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes47c481.5$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2247843.6%34 W · 44 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No53c472.14$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1915944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c429.9$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.154,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes43c400$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17323531.1%73 W · 162 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes21c380.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x092c…3175backed No54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.375455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x674a…ad6cbacked No51c365.55$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes3c364$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.921305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed No50c354$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1778045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.