Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x044f976882e92acc20c68bb390c31dad0674301872dc265dd239126b1b588eb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $984,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,135,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $984,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 673 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 133,302$64,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,440.28 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 77,621$46,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,460.89 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 51,363$25,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,350.26 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 44c | 45,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,199.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 51c | 41,726$21,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,181.53 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 48c | 34,254$16,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,860.87 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 32,486$16,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,623.13 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 30,658$18,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,442.57 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 55c | 30,177$16,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,501.02 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 50c | 30,030$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,030.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.92 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed No | 56c | 27,377$15,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,330.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 55c | 25,000$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,749.92 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 23,826$12,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,604.29 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 20,976$10,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,615.87 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 36c | 20,001$7,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,800.58 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked No | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 69c | 18,667$12,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,810.04 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 53c | 15,100$8,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,003 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…025bbacked Yes | 50c | 15,050$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,550.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 55c | 14,487$8,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,016.16 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 46c | 13,000$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,990 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 54c | 12,225$6,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,581.06 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…8e9bbacked Yes | 17c | 12,193$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120.04 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 34c | 11,673$3,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,718.71 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.16 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 73c | 9,924$7,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,247.62 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 48c | 9,083$4,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,682.2 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 52c | 6,587$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.37 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 6,217$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.71 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Yes | 37c | 5,963$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…b290backed Yes | 46c | 5,545$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…af6ebacked Yes | 42c | 5,313$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 62c | 4,984$3,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.74 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 51c | 4,952$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.17 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 31c | 4,464$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080.27 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked No | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 51c | 4,169$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.02 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.98 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 24c | 3,999$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.57 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 78c | 3,707$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.78 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…4743backed Yes | 48c | 3,623$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd8…8decbacked No | 52c | 3,615$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Yes | 45c | 3,443$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.58 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 49c | 3,279$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.64 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 51c | 3,262$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.79 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 51c | 3,195$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.4 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 48c | 3,194$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.13 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 45c | 3,111$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.11 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 72c | 3,057$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.9 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.84 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 45c | 2,909$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.91 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 30c | 2,771$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.19 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 43c | 2,737$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.3 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 52c | 2,552$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 31c | 2,500$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,730 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 49c | 2,414$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.03 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…cc3abacked No | 53c | 2,300$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…451fbacked Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 13c | 1,992$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.33 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 51c | 1,960$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.59 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…8e04backed Yes | 48c | 1,944$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 51c | 1,900$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.98 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 55c | 1,800$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.99 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 48c | 1,794$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.23 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1434…bb9abacked Yes | 47c | 1,790$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.65 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 48c | 1,771$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.51 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,721$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.63 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 48c | 1,668$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.19 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Yes | 19c | 1,613$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +168.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcac…fa54backed Yes | 31c | 1,606$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 35c | 1,603$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.45 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 55c | 1,535$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.94 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 26c | 1,528$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.78 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 35c | 1,434$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.75 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 52c | 1,434$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.45 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 51c | 1,383$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.35 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 51c | 1,380$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.02 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 51c | 1,339$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.9 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 45c | 1,322$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.67 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked No | 57c | 1,316$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…9b48backed Yes | 36c | 1,250$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b3…53b9backed Yes | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 45c | 1,246$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.28 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 51c | 1,204$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.5 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes | 44c | 1,202$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.98 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
- Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.