TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will West Ham United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,565
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,565 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No76c6,303$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.482,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7054…af6ebacked Yes28c2,694$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.982240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes26c2,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6604847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No71c2,410$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.034553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+55.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No72c1,588$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.649763.9%62 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes20c1,536$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.544,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked No72c1,185$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.833748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No72c1,179$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.2520448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c1,173$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.296,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes28c1,075$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9322125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac71…b290backed No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No72c999.99$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28539156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaddb…51adbacked Yes29c868.66$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes29c765.52$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22249544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes18c715$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.725329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No73c634.25$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.254564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes30c586.49$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.851,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd4…ebc4backed Yes28c463$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.641637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No62c414.21$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.430666%202 W · 104 L+57.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+76.4%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9daa…5fb4backed Yes49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Yes53c395.28$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.54641.3%19 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb604…b046backed Yes27c386.18$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.27714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d0…7b84backed Yes26c380.77$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Yes54c367.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff63…5aa1backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002850%14 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b5…7ba6backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0624…053fbacked Yes52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeec4…30b5backed No79c273.96$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.533100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x708d…2b38backed Yes19c263.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.131625%4 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No58c237.93$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.938145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Yes53c226.42$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No71c218.09$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.071,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes27c217.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes28c214.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No73c214.13$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.85754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8662…0731backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e30…01b0backed Yes28c201.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569335.5%33 W · 60 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes28c190.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.415230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b86…dd31backed Yes50c180.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503941%16 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…6a7fbacked No61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes16c141$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff72…7db1backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82cb…6a34backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No72c133$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6851542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes15c128.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.823435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes31c127.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9630739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb621…a47abacked Yes52c115.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x086f…8bc3backed Yes21c104$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.841435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5022764.8%147 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6f…e727backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283517.1%6 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe96c…3c52backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e28…fe79backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85dc…a6b7backed Yes28c99.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285048%24 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54eb…0371backed Yes41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x693c…a7edbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506141%25 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes19c90.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1512935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7c…25eebacked Yes29c90$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014043.6%61 W · 79 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a17…cefebacked Yes18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+125.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…4118backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251625%4 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes14c79.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.223220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes27c79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.334637%17 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes18c78.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.139625%24 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes29c72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.888643%37 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f44…a810backed Yes35c71.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.16650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011446.5%53 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206942%29 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes21c63.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.311,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105525.5%14 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed No70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.141872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+85.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes25c57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3418251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No73c56.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.263372.7%24 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick74cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x477b…1dd3backed No73c54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes26c49.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9825551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Yes42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206855.9%38 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes26c42.7$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.119735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1293…9587backed Yes29c41.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e53…58e1backed No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.44170.7%29 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2944…031abacked Yes28c39.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115234.6%18 W · 34 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81c9…91b5backed Yes34c38.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked No73c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes30c36.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8482763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4965…22cebacked No72c35.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No63c31.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7373258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59f1…6710backed No73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked No73c27$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.291553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1376…8289backed Yes58c25.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.831957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.