College Football · resolved market
Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 41.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b5304314cd95062452ed0aa3b7ae2a1b9feddd76f890c21b25535450774b4b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 55c | 14,545$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,545.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 9,928$4,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.81 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 51c | 9,384$4,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785.84 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 9,077$4,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.92 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 45c | 8,973$4,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,037.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Over | 49c | 7,998$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,079.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Over | 56c | 4,483$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.88 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,982$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.27 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 50c | 3,800$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 3,540$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.8 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 1,264$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 1,022$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.69 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 52c | 599.98$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…8645backed Under | 51c | 580$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…4362backed Over | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 241$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7448…b4cfbacked Over | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb728…fc92backed Under | 53c | 151.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed13…8754backed Under | 52c | 101$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…9f00backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -7.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3256backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f55…bae8backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…4217backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7a…dac8backed Over | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Over | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc603…3b67backed Under | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Over | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 33.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 48c | 27.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 41.5this page
- Alabama vs. OklahomaAlabama won
- Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 39.5Over won
- O/U 40.5Over won
- Spread: Alabama (-1.5)Alabama won
- Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)Alabama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.