TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Alabama vs. Oklahoma

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alabamaof Alabama, Oklahoma
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,714,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,881,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,714,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 742 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Alabama48c1,084,928$517,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567,144.0693548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af1…0f7bbacked Oklahoma56c855,821$478,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478,735.62875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Oklahoma55c833,055$458,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458,178.442245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Oklahoma52c792,342$412,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412,318.714163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Alabama44c693,899$305,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388,583.666832.4%22 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a55…f9bebacked Oklahoma54c335,463$181,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,149.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf98d…7adbbacked Alabama44c254,688$112,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,625.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Alabama48c206,728$98,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,924.037846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Alabama46c194,385$88,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105,661.7515352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Oklahoma59c189,719$111,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,871.253250%16 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Oklahoma53c146,533$77,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,662.7121055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Alabama47c65,000$30,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,708.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Oklahoma51c57,374$29,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,018.8611849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1894…9720backed Alabama50c44,891$22,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,234.861040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+36.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Alabama54c42,638$23,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,515.6726244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Oklahoma17c41,091$7,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,176.226838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Oklahoma50c38,313$18,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,979.6710448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Alabama44c38,022$16,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,292.418948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Alabama48c33,892$16,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,582.6552449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Alabama29c31,299$9,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,130.4163243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Oklahoma51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,299.977545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Oklahoma52c29,002$14,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,982.32035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Oklahoma52c27,961$14,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,539.978236.6%30 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Alabama47c25,000$11,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,2502737%10 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Oklahoma52c25,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00027246%125 W · 147 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oklahoma53c24,883$13,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,187.949444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Oklahoma54c24,811$13,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,291.0710848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Alabama48c24,502$11,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,741.143345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Alabama45c24,444$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,444.442766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Alabama47c23,592$11,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,503.553342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alabama65c22,880$14,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,945.1858850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Alabama48c21,144$10,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,983.4414743.5%64 W · 83 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Alabama46c19,966$9,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,837.0968440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d19…733abacked Oklahoma60c18,098$10,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,901.271145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Oklahoma56c15,294$8,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,489.1920450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Oklahoma52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8004429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Oklahoma55c15,000$8,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,189.9729055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Alabama47c15,000$6,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,019.9619849%97 W · 101 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3300…568bbacked Oklahoma57c14,400$8,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,191.01366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Alabama64c12,410$7,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,506.9486243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Alabama35c11,727$4,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,636.465345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Alabama42c10,566$4,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,180.164841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma50c10,456$5,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,181.7448546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Alabama50c10,192$5,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,095.953852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Alabama46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4003540%14 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Oklahoma53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,30039954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Oklahoma1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9877…d386backed Alabama48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Alabama46c9,825$4,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,305.2911221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Alabama46c9,600$4,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,184.131266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Alabama49c9,498$4,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,830.137145.1%32 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Oklahoma54c9,259$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.984141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Oklahoma52c9,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,679.9938546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7546…3a91backed Alabama16c8,806$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,425.783336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Alabama51c8,431$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,131.378752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Oklahoma54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3209540%38 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3529…a599backed Oklahoma55c6,364$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick62cpaid-41.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Alabama71c6,272$4,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,810.9115751%80 W · 77 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Oklahoma24c5,772$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.5821538.6%83 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Alabama37c5,762$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,610.575152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Alabama45c5,556$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.565446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Oklahoma53c5,416$2,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,844.941947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Alabama59c5,391$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.182548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Oklahoma1c5,319$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73790%0 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe869…24b2backed Oklahoma51c5,293$2,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Alabama48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60012746.5%59 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Alabama26c5,000$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,680.998448.8%41 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Oklahoma50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50024348.1%117 W · 126 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Alabama44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8006947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Oklahoma40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Oklahoma51c4,966$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.7711846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Alabama50c4,947$2,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3090…d498backed Oklahoma51c4,903$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oklahoma41c4,852$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.4540541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Alabama48c4,766$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.1410047%47 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Oklahoma55c4,444$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Alabama38c4,327$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.5419362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Oklahoma38c4,289$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.483438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Oklahoma53c4,250$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,252.56547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Oklahoma52c4,240$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.111163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaceb…6f8ebacked Alabama48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Alabama24c4,150$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick42cpaid+112.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9bd3…41f8backed Alabama50c4,041$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Alabama39c4,009$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.0213933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Oklahoma52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0802458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Alabama46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.972334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Oklahoma49c3,872$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.631050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0a1…7ae9backed Alabama49c3,696$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Alabama32c3,588$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.941650%8 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Alabama20c3,575$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.3220553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x26c8…2564backed Oklahoma15c3,358$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Oklahoma45c3,351$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5146233.9%21 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Alabama48c3,128$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,627.772055%11 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Alabama49c3,061$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.221464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2128…4c6dbacked Oklahoma55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Alabama48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5603844.7%17 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b2…3ccebacked Oklahoma54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-67.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Oklahoma50c2,900$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44516747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Oklahoma52c2,868$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-77.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Oklahoma35c2,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.