TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alabamaof Oklahoma, Alabama
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,596
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,596 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe73e…74febacked Oklahoma51c123,733$63,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,553.993951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Alabama49c101,396$49,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,766.3293548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Alabama49c20,290$10,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,25115352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Oklahoma50c15,048$7,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,524.1921055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Alabama49c4,702$2,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379.412,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Oklahoma52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08011541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Oklahoma48c3,021$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4505149%25 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma48c2,617$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.1648546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Alabama59c2,381$1,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.917143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Oklahoma48c2,204$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.2222750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Oklahoma48c2,160$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0372343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Alabama50c2,001$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.82060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked Alabama48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Alabama49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02011854.2%64 W · 54 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Alabama48c1,416$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.329051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc557…6496backed Alabama49c1,182$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.96757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma52c1,059$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.8958850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Alabama49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.144770.2%33 W · 14 L+8.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Alabama51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4905451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Alabama49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5108544.7%38 W · 47 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb233…6183backed Oklahoma49c950$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Oklahoma54c867.94$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.6926244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Oklahoma49c830.39$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.892245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Alabama53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32913548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Oklahoma51c700$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35715734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Alabama48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2606949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Alabama48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8eb1…0812backed Alabama49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+39.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Oklahoma48c399.93$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.972653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c58…8c00backed Oklahoma51c393.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.462227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-51.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x405f…170bbacked Alabama51c370$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Oklahoma49c337.67$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4665945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Alabama49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.123141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fe4…ff36backed Alabama51c303.92$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Alabama48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1561838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Oklahoma52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1565745.6%26 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…5952backed Alabama51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7f…9485backed Alabama6c300$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Oklahoma52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017450%87 W · 87 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e9…11ebbacked Alabama51c280$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Oklahoma48c204.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.042231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Alabama49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089050%45 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x575b…14f0backed Alabama49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Oklahoma47c194.57$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4520950.2%105 W · 104 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Oklahoma52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Oklahoma52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009250%46 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Alabama53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7068…c63bbacked Oklahoma49c134$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Oklahoma49c124.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.354243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Alabama49c118.08$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.793748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce1…b62cbacked Alabama51c117.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.741656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8b…0026backed Oklahoma48c117$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Alabama52c107$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.361573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+50.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad9d…fba2backed Alabama49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Oklahoma47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-56.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe77f…e59abacked Alabama49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Alabama48c99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.481154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a7…07cdbacked Oklahoma51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.982429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Oklahoma49c94.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1128440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Alabama47c92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Oklahoma50c86.13$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7238450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf7f…0b18backed Oklahoma51c75.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…fc7abacked Alabama52c74.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.861369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Oklahoma49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Alabama49c65.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.311056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x816b…5017backed Alabama49c64.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Alabama39c60.83$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.831258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Oklahoma49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52bf…e999backed Alabama56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0edb…8260backed Oklahoma49c52.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.541533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Alabama49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0216050%80 W · 80 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc427…ee41backed Alabama53c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.97887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.41per pick47cpaid+86.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Oklahoma52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265858.6%34 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Alabama51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.75858.6%34 W · 24 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Oklahoma49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Alabama49c39.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b46…1e90backed Alabama52c38.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Alabama53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Alabama49c36.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.735255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked Oklahoma48c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…24adbacked Oklahoma52c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.64757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe91…4462backed Oklahoma48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6526…9c80backed Alabama49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e78…fcb4backed Oklahoma51c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed Oklahoma50c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8380…1866backed Oklahoma53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Oklahoma60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1286243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Oklahoma52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Oklahoma70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1426940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Oklahoma53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.