College Football · resolved market
Spread: Alabama (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20b76461bd84dbcab0dd6f3ae046b315f26a7274d4de53675a87eef034ddcc0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabamaof Alabama, Oklahoma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama | 43c | 2,813$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.94 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Alabama | 46c | 2,676$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.82 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Oklahoma | 54c | 2,167$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Oklahoma | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Oklahoma | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Alabama | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Oklahoma | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Alabama | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Oklahoma | 51c | 182.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Oklahoma | 57c | 116$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Alabama | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Oklahoma | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Alabama | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Oklahoma | 57c | 86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…0beebacked Alabama | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Oklahoma | 54c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oklahoma | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Oklahoma | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Oklahoma | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Alabama | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked Oklahoma | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…7ba5backed Oklahoma | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Alabama | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Alabama | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Alabama | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Alabama | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed Alabama | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Oklahoma | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Oklahoma | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Alabama | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d10…e17cbacked Alabama | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama (-1.5)this page
- Alabama vs. OklahomaAlabama won
- Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 39.5Over won
- Alabama vs. Oklahoma: O/U 41.5Over won
- O/U 40.5Over won
- Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)Alabama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.