Movies · resolved market
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed99601f88e998732ca60627631718d7417a27765a4cc50fcff03adaeba1494f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,727 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aec…b4cebacked No | 8c | 2,418$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115a…e4a6backed No | 10c | 1,767$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 10c | 1,697$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 12c | 934.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 6c | 788.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 4c | 780.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked No | 13c | 770$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.64 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 749.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…cc96backed No | 10c | 729.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…35ddbacked Yes | 43c | 648.02$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed No | 16c | 637$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…4b88backed No | 8c | 625.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 9c | 599.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked No | 10c | 572.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 9c | 555.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed No | 17c | 547$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 10c | 533.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 10c | 525.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 71c | 520$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…87f3backed No | 20c | 511.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 17c | 511$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed No | 11c | 488.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed No | 14c | 471$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 16c | 467$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 10c | 460.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 6c | 445$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked No | 16c | 444$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…7ddcbacked No | 17c | 406$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 7c | 350.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…ebc2backed No | 30c | 346$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4b…1fb3backed No | 26c | 345$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…ad61backed No | 27c | 336$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 30c | 336$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 10c | 332.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…65c5backed No | 25c | 327$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 6c | 323.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…6c75backed Yes | 75c | 311$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed Yes | 71c | 310$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 56c | 295.08$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.34 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked No | 17c | 295$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed Yes | 70c | 293$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked No | 17c | 293$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c0…38acbacked No | 9c | 288.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 9c | 286.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 75c | 282$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 9c | 281.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 76c | 277.44$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 275.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 17c | 271$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 7c | 270.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 98 | 3.1%3 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa284…fbbabacked No | 7c | 268.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed Yes | 79c | 267$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…3c30backed Yes | 74c | 260$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8f…82c7backed No | 12c | 258.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed No | 30c | 258$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 256.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed No | 14c | 255$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb728…fc92backed Yes | 51c | 250$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 7c | 249.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed No | 20c | 244.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 21c | 244$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 10c | 238.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 25c | 219$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked No | 26c | 215$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 10c | 214.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2a…6f46backed No | 10c | 211.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed No | 25c | 204$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 30c | 202$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 21c | 191$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked No | 16c | 186$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 72c | 178.47$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked No | 9c | 176.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 73c | 173$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 71c | 171$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…c3ddbacked No | 17c | 171$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…2dacbacked Yes | 71c | 170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 70c | 170$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked No | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed No | 27c | 162$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 14c | 161.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed No | 11c | 159.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 158.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked Yes | 73c | 158$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 29c | 157$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed No | 11c | 156.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed No | 9c | 150.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59e…8937backed No | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes | 70c | 149$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed No | 14c | 148.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…53dcbacked Yes | 72c | 148$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked No | 8c | 148$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 70c | 138$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 72c | 132$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked Yes | 74c | 127$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed No | 28c | 126$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed No | 30c | 123$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 56c | 121.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will 28 Years Later win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will After the Hunt win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Bugonia win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Christy win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Die My Love win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Hamnet win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Highest 2 Lowest win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Kiss of the Spider Woman win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Kokuho win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Sinners win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will The Smashing Machine win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will The Ugly Stepsister win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Weapons win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Wicked: For Good win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.