TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$504,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$557,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $504,857 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed No36c54,600$19,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,0237542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes65c50,000$32,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,50031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No34c48,553$16,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,270.8830851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes66c33,640$22,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,272.641,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes64c33,631$21,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,660.092,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No35c19,276$6,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,529.2321853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No34c19,021$6,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,554.1115949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes66c18,245$12,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,121.8210962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No35c17,737$6,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,565.8810335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No36c11,908$4,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,621.125271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No34c11,035$3,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,283.0910455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,399.965337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Yes66c7,887$5,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,205.152445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No36c7,850$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0247945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes66c7,576$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006746.3%31 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No45c7,150$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,932.4313829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes55c6,364$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5008962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb0…7263backed Yes56c6,363$3,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,583.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes64c6,000$3,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,862.2317042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes65c5,214$3,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,389.021,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No37c5,135$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,235.144052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes66c5,000$3,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,309.129845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c4,496$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,881.056,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed No35c4,444$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.5610534.3%36 W · 69 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes65c4,095$2,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.752634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe045…c149backed No34c4,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.883850%19 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No34c3,973$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.891827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No35c3,714$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,414.2910236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes65c3,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.2150644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No34c3,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9706046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95046551.8%241 W · 224 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes48c3,000$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44525836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,949.987754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No39c2,770$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.252,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c2,725$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.624,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes65c2,500$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62511945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Yes66c2,388$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5761050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes44c2,255$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.9641344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes53c2,200$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1664447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No34c2,100$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3861,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Yes67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3405745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Yes2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40170%0 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No35c1,938$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.6925551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No34c1,833$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.358747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7216…16a4backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No33c1,700$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,13217833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked No34c1,611$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.2910956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No34c1,602$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.457035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…e44dbacked Yes66c1,576$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.13560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9960728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010768.2%73 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No33c1,489$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.920448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes64c1,423$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.4479650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4267…f10dbacked Yes65c1,411$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes64c1,094$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No46c1,092$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.771,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No35c1,068$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.3535941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No12c1,012$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.9318948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…0c03backed Yes53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No34c999.87$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.8139156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf55…a7e0backed Yes52c996.15$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5183043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No64c971.65$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.215754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes75c967.05$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7252250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes52c940$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6341…227bbacked No35c900$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5851353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+49.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51236956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04ae…0c77backed Yes65c770$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No72c756.99$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes65c750.24$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.681,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No34c733.08$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.833672.2%26 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+46.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed No37c700$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6a…9717backed Yes60c640.75$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3871450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes65c608.69$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.6568942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed Yes66c600$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006838.2%26 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No53c589$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.849753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30024047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb68b…6327backed Yes66c520$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes11c500$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54492%1 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick8cpaid-86.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No34c500$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3304953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33017544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009043.3%39 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes66c450$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2975339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes68c441.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes66c440.65$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2410426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes65c420.34$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.229551.6%49 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd965…7abfbacked Yes46c417.39$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadc6…0f8fbacked Yes64c414.78$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Yes66c400$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2647147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x917c…6b38backed Yes66c380$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No21c373.81$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.2725530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d73…0951backed Yes55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.