Premier League · resolved market
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97acbc47ec652162dbde6168fafeaa4607f28fbe0fb15e8fa7facf4e7154febd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 3,666$2,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.6 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 3,273$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 31c | 2,216$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.63 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 20c | 1,775$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,462$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.35 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 21c | 1,371$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 79c | 1,224$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.11 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 19c | 1,010$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.7 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 12c | 894.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.39 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked No | 22c | 800$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 27c | 636.31$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.9 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 21c | 599$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.21 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 468$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.19 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 74c | 324.85$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.68 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 20c | 222.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 216$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.98 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 3.7%2 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 78c | 196.17$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 40c | 128.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 21c | 124.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…968fbacked Yes | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…b824backed Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 79c | 118.72$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 13c | 108$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa478…d961backed Yes | 35c | 100.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…b24abacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed No | 15c | 96.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…0d8ebacked Yes | 11c | 94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +191.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 20c | 84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 64c | 78.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +15.0wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…e729backed No | 80c | 69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 22c | 68.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 21c | 66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 20c | 65.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 80c | 51.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 63c | 45.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…aee1backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 78c | 39.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 79c | 38.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 31.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5294…cf41backed No | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.0wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 75cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 78c | 24.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bee…aa9ebacked No | 79c | 16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa762…4333backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.